Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 24

Santa Anita Park full card analysis for Saturday (6-24-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com
Weather: Sunny. High 91. SA Best Bets (races 3, 5, 8) 
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file 

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 1 AWARD IT ($3.60)
Double (Races 1-2, $9.20)
SA 3 RED LIVY (SA Best Bet #1, $3.60), Exacta ($11.30)
Double (Races 2-3, $11.20)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $11.10)
SA 4 BATTLE OF MIDWAY ($2.20)
Double (Races 3-4, $4.40)
Pick 3 (Races 2-4, $6.90)
SA 10 Allaboutmike/Sir Samson Exacta ($10.20), Trifecta ($45.70)
WO 9 Trifecta (3-2-5, WO Best Bet #2, $172.40)

SA 1 (Clm-25k, 8T) #9 AWARD IT (2-1) drops out of the optional claiming ranks for Mandella and Talamo strings along. Pick any competitive Final Rating from her last four (110, 117, 119, 114). #1 Blondy’s Reward (5-1) goes from the outside post to the hedge and she landed the place vs. similar course/distance rivals under today’s rider Pereira March 31 (inside post, 110 Final). She adds blinkers 3rd off the shelf and projects a ground saving stalking trip for a low % barn. #8 Ocean Dream (3-1) earned a decent 120 Final Rating in her course/distance maiden win (CA-bred Mcl-50k) in her twelfth career start June 9. THE PLAYS: Exacta 1-8/9, Superfecta 9/1-8/1-8/ALL, Superfecta 9/1-8/ALL/1-8, Superfecta 9/ALL/1-8/1-8  

SA 2 (MSW, 6.5f) #3 SO I SANG (3-1) debuts for Hollendorfer and he shows a +ROI with first timers. The daughter of Union Rags gets in light with Roman and looked good working for this June 14. #6 Just Mine (5-1) is a first timer for Shirreffs and he shows a +ROI with his debut MSW starters. They paid $210k for her and dam’s other two starters won. #7 Candy Swirls (2-1) was along for 3rd in her local dirt sprint bow and should appreciate today’s added furlong. #4 Point Streak (5-2) was up for 3rd in her turf route debut at DMR last summer and has not been seen since for sharp layoff trainer Baffert. The $270k purchase might be using this as a prep for a route at DMR. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Trifecta 3-6/4-7/4-7 

SA 3 (Mcl-50k, 6.5T) #9 RED LIVY (5-2) turned back and ran a much better race in her second US start down the hill May 29 (155 Pace + 111 Final). She drops in for a tag, switches to Baze (28% w/D’Amato), drew well, and none of her rivals can run with her early. #2 Flower Heart Deer (3-1) stalked below par fractions and finished 3rd from the outside post in a similar downhill sprint June 1 (99 Pace + 101 Final). Eurton show a +ROI with his 2nd grass race starters (29% wins) and she will be ready to pounce if my top gives up the ghost again. #3 My Audubon (6-1) turns back and Drysdale excels with his first time maiden claiming runners. She drilled a training track bullet for this June 17 and gets in light with Roman. D’Amato also saddles #5 English Talent (8-1) and he shows a +ROI debut turf.  THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 9/2-3-5, Exacta 2-3-5/9      

SA 4 (G3 Affirmed, 8.5f) #5 ARMS RUNNER (9-5) looked good winning both of his downhill sprints and received a 149 Pace + 147 Final in the Desert Code. He tries two turns on dirt for the first time and his balanced attack might play well over a route of ground. The $525k purchase drilled a 6f bullet for this June 21. #2 Battle of Midway (4-5) exits a show finish in the Kentucky Derby (179 Pace + 137 Final) and was 2nd in the SA Derby (165 Pace + 138 Final) before that. He ran well in both and was part of lively pace scenarios each time. THE PLAYS: Exacta 5-2    

SA 5 (Alw-1x, 6.5T) #9 LADY ESPINOAGE (7-2) rallied to beat today’s favorite Spin Me a Kiss by a nose March 30 (116 Final, Fastest in the Stretch – 29.2) and finished a distant 3rd to romping winner Algorhythmic (won big again June 3) in her first start vs. winners May 12. #4 Spin Me a Kiss (8-5) missed by a nose in her first downhill try March 30 and followed that up with a sharp maiden win from the inside post May 5 (125 Final). She meets other speed and my top might run her down again. #5 Tangled Up In Ju (9-2) owns competitive numbers and Machowsky shows a +ROI first turf. She has speed but is also capable of stalking the pace. #6 Herunbridledpower (6-1) added blinkers and finished 1.5 lengths in front of Lady Espionage from the inside post in a 6-horse field May 12. The pace should be quicker this time. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta Box 4-9, Trifecta 4-9/4-5-6-9/4-5-6-9  
    
SA 6 (G3 Precisionist, 8.5f) #5 CAT BURGLAR (9-2) got a 141 Pace +141 Final in his winning sprint return March 31 and will have to up the ante if he is going to capture this event. His 2016 Santa Mile numbers (146 Pace + 152 Final) would make him a threat in this spot and were very similar to stablemate Collected’s numbers in the 2017 renewal of that event. The other Baffert angle might be the way to go from a value standpoint but it should be mentioned that Collected outworked him by a length in a team drill June 18. #4 Collected (4-5) smartly won both of his local stakes starts this year (147 Pace + 156 Final April 22) and is a short price to run his SA record to 4-for-4. #3 Accelerate (5-2) is usually in the mix and the fresh colt projects a tactical trip. He is training well for this and typically earns 140+ Final Ratings. He is 0-for-6 at SA (5 minor awards) and hit the board in both starts at this distance (141, 144 Final). #1 Donworth (6-1) and #2 Keane (8-1) are a pair of returnees for O’Neill. The former runs well fresh (first start in 14 months) and did earn a 152 Final in the G2 San Antonio off a layoff in 2016. The latter makes his US bow (5-for-7 in Argentina in 2016) and sports a pair of Los Al bullets for this. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta 4-5/3

SA 7 (Mcl-20k, 5f) #9 BLOODLETTING (6-1) took some money, dueled, and weakened (7th by 14) in his local $30k bow May 27. He sports three local works for this and Sadler excels with second timers. #7 Cal Cal Li Gowchis (5-1) and #10 My Boy Rudy (5-1) exits the same May 13 heat and winner Tanners Pride returned to score again June 3. The former looked good working for this May 13 and the latter took action in his bow and Glatt shows a +ROI with second timers. #1 Have Some Pride (4-1) is a $90k Keeneland sales grad and dam has tossed four winners (2 stakes winners). He sports a couple of local gate works. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 9/1-7-10, Exacta 1-7-10/9   

SA 8 (OC-40k, 8T) This race appears to set up for a patient runner and #4 UNAPOLOGETIC (9-2) might be the right closer. My top got pace help in a rallying show finish vs. this kind May 26 (92 FIRE + 129 CPR, final 1/4 in 24.5) and Pereira is 4-for-6 w/Spawr. He finished in the Top 3 in 5 of his last 6 flat mile turf starts. #12 Rye Patch (5-2) fired Trifecta shots in all four turf starts this year (88 FIRE + 130 CPR May 26) and has run well from outer posts in the past. Sadler shows a +ROI first after the claim and Talamo rode him well in his last pair. #7 Miner’s Light (10-1) did not get a ton of pace help but rallied from 12th to beat grassy maidens at 9f May 27 (Fastest in the Stretch – 23.0). He should be finishing under Stevens but might run out of ground at a flat mile. #3 Street Moxie (6-1) makes his first start in 8+ months for sharp trainer Baltas and he won at this course/distance last June (88 FIRE + 128 CPR). #1 Crown the Kitten (6-1) stalked and finished 2nd May 20 (80 FIRE + 123 CPR) but was placed 5th via DQ that day. He has not won in quite some time but a nice ground saving trip might lead to an underneath finish. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 4/7-12, Exacta 7/12-4, Trifecta 4-7-12/1-3-4-7-12/4-7-12     

SA 9 (MSW, 6f) #8 HAILEY RACHELE (4-1) finished 2nd in her local 5.5f debut May 28 (114 Pace + 101 Final) and I have always liked crafty, low profile trainer Scolamieri. She drilled a 6f bullet for this June 17 and should show speed. #9 Princess Dorian (3-1) landed the place as the favorite in both local sprints and improved her Final Rating from 105 to 107 on May 28 (6th place finisher Aflewency next out winner). An outside stalking trip is expected. #1 Moonlite Madness (7-2) sports back-to-back Los Al bullets for this and figures to hustle away from the inside post under Roman. Dam’s other starter won and Koriner (4 for last 15) is 2-for-18 with first timers (+ROI debut MSW). THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 8/1-9, Exacta 1-9/8  

SA 10 (Str-Alw, 6.5T) #12 SIR SAMSON (3-1) earned decent numbers in an okay 4th vs. better downhill sprinters May 12 (147 Pace + 123 Final). I frequently like playing tactical types from outer posts down the hill and this one looks like a solid contender. #5 Allaboutmike (4-1) smartly went all the way in a $75k downhill maiden claimer as my top May 26 (135 Pace + 129 Final) and might be able to step up and play ball with these. #2 Rainbow Squall (6-1) finished 11th and last from the outside post in the 9f Rainbow at 94-1 last time and you can draw a line through that one. He fits with these based on his rallying show finish in a similar downhill sprint May 26 (123 Final). #4 Chief Hosa (6-1) removes blinkers and was competitive throughout in his last two downhill tries (165 Pace + 131 Final May 4). #10 Tyler’s Tek (12-1) showed an okay late kick in both Turf Paradise turf starts at one mile (1117 Final April 3) and Stevens takes the call for Chambers. Connections are testing the waters to see where he fits class-wise. THE PLAYS: #12 to win, Exacta Box 5-12, Trifecta 5-12/2-4-5-10-12/2-4-5-10-12     

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (9-1-8)
2   (3-6-7-4)
3   (9-2-3-5)
4   (5-2)
5   (9-4-5-6)
6   (5-4-3)
7   (9-7-10-1)
8   (4-12-7-3-1)
9   (8-9-1)
10 (12-5-2-4-10)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2): 
Ticket 1 (9-3)
Ticket 2 (9/3-4-6-7)
Ticket 3 (1-8-9/3)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (3-9)
Ticket 1 (3/2-3-5-9)
Ticket 3 (3-4-6-7/9)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3): 
Ticket 1 (9-3-9)
Ticket 2 (9/3-4-6-7/2-3-5-9)
Ticket 3 (1-8-9/3/2-3-5-9)
Ticket 4 (1-8-9/3-4-6-7/9)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 7-10

WO Best Bets (Races 8, 9)

WO 7 – OC-62.5k, 9T
Primary – #7 STRUT N STOMP, #3 Best Bard
Secondary – #2 Johnny Bear
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta 7/2-3, Exacta 2-3/7, Trifecta 3-7/ALL/2
20 cent Pick 4: 3-7/5-7/3-6/1-3 ($3.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 3-7/1-4-5-7/3-6/1-3 ($6.40)
20 cent Pick 4: 2-3-7/5-7/3-6/1-3 ($4.80)
20 cent Pick 4: 3-7/5-7/1-2-3-5-6/1-3 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 3-7/5-7/3-6/1-3-4-6-8-13 ($9.60)

WO 8 – My Dear Girl, 5f
Primary – #5 LOUNGE ACT, #7 Dream It Is
Secondary – #1 Wild and Funny, #4 Gossip Isle
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta 5/1-4-7, Exacta 1-4-7/5, Trifecta 5-7/1-4-5-7/1-4-5-7

WO 9 – Str-Alw, 8.5f
Primary – #6 AUNT SUE, #3 Rince Tapaigh
Secondary – #5 Awfully Sinful, #2 Chedington, #1 Sweet Escape
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta 3-6/5, Trifecta 3-6/1-2-3-5-6/1-2-3-5-6

WO 10 – Mcl-32k, 8T
Primary – #3 RARE GEM, #1 Ocean Court
Secondary – #13 Malibu Bliss, #4 Twentytwentycrest, #6 Danzig Rainbow, #8 Court Order
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta Box 1-3, Trifecta 1-3/1-3-4-6-8-13/1-3-4-6-8-13

Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 23

Santa Anita Park full card analysis for Friday (6-23-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com
Weather: Partly Sunny. High 88. SA Best Bets (races 4, 9) 
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file 

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 2 BLANKET OF ICE ($6.40)
Double (Races 2-3, $15.20)
SA 7 What a Ten/Table for Three Exacta ($15.00), Trifecta ($52.00)

SA 1 (Clm-25k, 8f) #1 ROOM ON THE BROOM (7-2) switched back to preferred dirt and finished an encouraging 2nd vs. three rivals May 26 (career best 105 Pace + 108 Final). She won’t be 9-1 this time but ran well in all three fast track dirt starts at this distance. #7 Sassy Ashley (6-1) was clearly second best at this course/distance March 30 (99 Pace + 99 Final) and the show finisher was a next out winner. She adds blinkers (20% move for Baltas) and should be forwardly placed. #4 She’sluckythatway (3-1) won her last two sprints but I do not trust her inflated wet track number May 7 (117 Final). She received a 96 Final Rating in her local fast track maiden breaker at 7f April 16 and that might be the kind of number she earns in her first route try today. #2 Tiz Adore (4-1), #3 She’s Not a Lemon (8-1), and #6 Yaffe (5-2) each switch surfaces and seem to rate some kind of look. The latter goes for the hot Mullins barn (6 for last 15). THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta 1/4-7, Exacta 4-7/1  

SA 2 (Clm-25k, 8.5f) #3 BLANKET OF ICE (2-1) won his last three local routes and his Final Rating jumped to 128 May 11 (runner-up next out winner). He owns early/pressing versatility and Roman is 6-for-16 w/Belvoir. #4 Indygo Bo (2-1) seeks a hat trick and has been very popular at the claim box recently (Hess has him now). He won on turf June 10 (137 Final) and has scored on fast dirt before. #5 Mystery Train (8-5) returns as a gelding for Ellis and he seems to be working well for his first start in 10+ months. In 2015, he was good enough to land the place in the G3 Mineshaft and win the Evangeline Mile. #6 Real Big Deal (6-1) had to need his last local sprint prep and earned competitive two turn dirt numbers last year. He might need another. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/4-5-6, Exacta 4-5-6/3    

SA 3 (Mcl-20k, 8.5f) #6 Y’S PASSION (5-2) is one of three entrants with numbers good enough to win this (4 triple digit Final Ratings in 2016) and he might move up on the drop for Gallagher (5-for-6 2nd off +180 day layoff). He gets in light with Roman. #4 Run Like Rhett (9-5) has improved since stretching out and was up for the place vs. this kind May 27 (blinkers on). He earned 101 + 105 Final Ratings in his last pair and Baze strings along. #5 Papa Royale (8-5) switches surfaces and earned winning numbers in a couple of underneath finishes in local sprints Feb 19 (114 Final) and March 23 (116 Final). He is back at his claimed level for O’Neill and Frey shows a +ROI with this outfit. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/4-5, Exacta 4-5/6

SA 4 (OC-16k, 6.5T) #2 CHEEKABOOMBOOM (5-2) got pace help in a sharp downhill win May 13 (123 Final + Fastest in the Stretch) and turns back after running 8th in the $200k Snow Chief at 9f. This event might set up for him. #3 Eichel (4-1) exits a disappointing 3rd as the heavy favorite vs. sophomore claiming turf sprinters June 4 (113 Pace + 128 Final) and was a close-up 3rd vs. similar CA-bred downhill foes May 19 (128 Pace + 125 Final). #7 A New Trend (3-1) earned a strong downhill Pace Rating May 19 (150) and could go all the way if he sneaks away early. #4 Senator Robert (10-1) earned a 125 Final March 24 and a 126 Final April 20 and either of those two downhill numbers would work in this spot. He might spice up the exotics. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/3-4-7, Exacta 3-4-7/2, Trifecta 2-3-7/2-3-7/4  

SA 5 (Mcl-20k, 5f) #2 DELIGHTFUL EVENT (3-1) looked good in a local company drill from the gate June 18 and could easily hit the ground running for the productive Baze/Mullins team. #1 Risky Factor (5-2) debuts for the profitable Frey/O’Neill team. Dam’s other two starters won and both local drills look solid. #11 Gypsy Treasure (2-1) is the best of the experienced runners with a 95 Final Rating April 7. She took money, added blinkers, and faded June 3 (120 Pace) and gets a price reduction from $50k CA-bred to $20k open. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/1-11, Exacta 1-11/2  
    
SA 6 (MSW, 5f) #8 ACHARNEMENT (5-1) chased wide from the outside post and faded to last as the even money favorite May 25 (113 Pace). She dons the hood for Truman (6 for last 15) and might go better under Prat. #9 Fracas (5-2) has three local bullets in her holster including one from the gate June 15. She gets in light with Roman and Callaghan is enjoying a fine meet. #10 Spectator (6-1) looked good in a team drill for this June 10 and Theriot is 2-for-8 w/D’Amato. #6 Medaglia Gold (15-1) took a bit of action and dueled from the inside post before fading in her debut vs. males May 12 (120 Pace). AE #11 She’s No Drama (5-1) is a $130k purchase with some decent morning activity for Bonde. AE #12 Mondaymorningblues (3-1) finished a troubled 4th as the favorite in her local bow May 18 and the runner-up was a next out winner. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 8/9-10, Exacta 9-10/8, Trifecta 8-9/6-8-9-10/6-8-9-10-11-12       

SA 7 (OC-50k, 7f) #3 TABLE FOR THREE (4-1) exits a well-beaten 4th down the hill and smartly graduated in a local dirt sprint before that (116 Pace + 110 FIRE). #4 What a Ten (7-2) has sprinted on dirt once and that was her local maiden breaker March 25 (119 Pace + 119 Final). #5 Adios Cali (4-1) fired Exacta shots in 4 of her 6 fast track dirt sprints (120 Pace + 114 Final Feb 25). #1 Honor Maker (5-1) turns back off the bench for Baltas and she looked good working for this June 16. #2 Road Test (3-1) finished in the Top 3 in her last five and Carava shows a +ROI route/sprint. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/4-5, Exacta 4-5/3, Trifecta 3-4-5/1-2-3-4-5/3-4-5    

SA 8 (Mcl-75k, 6f) #6 CLIFTON BEACH (5-1) needed his turf sprint return June 2 and should be fitter after dueling and fading to 5th vs. $50k foes that day (152 Pace + 114 Final). Today’s rider Baze was aboard for his $50k place finish in a local dirt sprint last July (125 Pace + 113 Final). #9 Rafter One (7-2) stretched out, added blinkers, and was only a couple of necks out of 2nd June 10 (140 Pace + 114 Final). Kent D is 2-for-6 w/Pender (4-for-42 route/sprint) and he might be set for a new top 3rd off the shelf. #8 Tommy Grossman (8-1) missed by a nose in his Turf Paradise dirt sprint bow April 3 (96 Pace + 108 Final, 2 next out winners). He adds blinkers for sharp trainer Chambers but it remains to be seen where he fits class-wise in SoCal. #7 Psychedelicat (5-1) disappointed from the rail in his first tagged outing May 19. He looked good working for this June 17 and might bounce back. #5 Artistic Ab (5-1) is a second timer with a strong local drill June 17. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/8-9, Exacta 8-9/6, Trifecta 6-8-9/5-6-7-8-9/6-8-9    

SA 9 (OC-16k, 8T) #2 QUEEN BEE TO YOU (6-1) exits a distant 3rd in the Melair and looked good earning her diploma at this course/distance April 7 (110 CPR, final 1/4 in 24.0). #3 Kennedie Sky (5-1) rallied for the place May 18 (126 CPR, final 1/4 in 23.4) and the winner returned to score again June 10. #6 Moonshine Annie (3-1) added blinkers and earned her diploma June 4 (92 CPR, final 1/4 in 25.6). She is getting better but will need to run faster to win this. #1 Hawk’s Journey (12-1) is a sharp NoCal shipper with early/pressing versatility. She graduated on GG turf May 18 (97 CPR, final 1/4 in 24.4) and clicked right back in an off the turf route June 8 (116 CPR). THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 1-2-6/3, Trifecta 2-3/1-2-3-6/1-2-3-6 

SA 10 (Clm-16k, 8f) #9 HOT PARIS NIGHT (3-1) was competitive in both local routes vs. this kind and Roman got to know him in a place finish at this distance May 18 (82 FIRE + 107 CPR). #2 Ground Rules (5-2) dueled and finished last in a disappointing try May 11 but ran well vs. this kind March 16 (77 FIRE + 117 CPR) and might bounce back under Kent D. #8 Ajac (8-1) stretches back and and hit the board in each of his three tries at this distance. He enters in decent form (75 FIRE + 104 CPR May 18)  and should show speed. #1 Oso (5-1) drops, switches surfaces, and hit the board in 5 of 6 previous local dirt starts (82 FIRE + 117 CPR Jan 29). THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 9/1-2-8, Exacta 1-2-8/9, Trifecta 2-9/1-2-8-9/1-2-8-9

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (1-7-4-2-3-6)
2   (3-4-5-6)
3   (6-4-5)
4   (2-3-7-4)
5   (2-1-11)
6   (8-9-10-6-11-12)
7   (3-4-5-1-2)
8   (6-9-8-7-5)
9   (2-3-6-1)
10 (9-2-8-1)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2): 
Ticket 1 (1-3)
Ticket 2 (1/3-4-5-6)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-4-6-7/3)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (3-6)
Ticket 1 (3/4-5-6)
Ticket 3 (3-4-5-6/6)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3): 
Ticket 1 (1-3-6)
Ticket 2 (1/3-4-5-6/4-5-6)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-4-6-7/3/4-5-6)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-4-6-7/3-4-5-6/6)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 4-7

WO Best Bets (Race 6, 7)

WO 4 – Clm-20k, 8T
Primary – #6 ITSTARTSWITHADRINK, #1 Shot for Shot
Secondary – #3 Seize the Bay, #7 Pat Daddy
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta 1-6-7/3, Trifecta 1-6/1-3-6-7/1-3-6-7
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/4-8/5-7/3-5 ($3.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/1-2-4-5-6-8-9/5-7/3-5 (11.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-3-6-7/4-8/5-7/3-5 ($6.40)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/5-7/2-4-5-6-7-8/3-5 ($9.60)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/4-8/5-7/1-2-3-5 ($6.40)

WO 5 – Mcl-10k, 5f 
Primary – #4 DETROIT STEEL, #8 Hope Vision
Secondary – #6 Best of the Bobs, #9 Silken Thomas, #5 Canadian Ranger, #1 Canada Wise Don #2 Never Worn
Wagers: #4 to win, Exacta 4-5-8/6, Trifecta 4-8/1-2-4-5-6-8-9/4-6-8-9

WO 6 – OC-40k, 6.5T
Primary – #7 TORIAEZU NAMA, #5 Miss Sea
Secondary – #2 Rainbows Ahead,  #6 Pure Purity, #8 Bella Fabiana, #4 Silver Ring
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta Box 5-7, Trifecta 5-7/2-5-6-7/2-4-5-6-7-8

WO 7 – Clm-16k, 8.5f
Primary – #5 TH ORIGINAL SCOTTY, #3 Reallylikethisone 
Secondary – #2 Danger Bay, #1 Tesseron
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta 1-3-5/2, Trifecta 3-5/1-2-3-5/1-2-3-5

Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 18

Santa Anita Park full card analysis for Sunday (6-18-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com
Weather: Sunny. High 95. SA Best Bets (races 9, 10) 
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file 

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 2 SPIRIT OF SHANGHAI ($4.60), Exacta ($6.10)
Double (Races 1-2, $31.00)
Double (Races 2-3, $8.60)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $43.40)
Pick 3 (Races 2-4, $27.10)
SA 6 CUPID’S BEAU ($3.40), Exacta ($7.10)
Double (Races 5-6, $15.20)
Pick 3 (Races 4-6, $34.20)
SA 7 Bookies Luck/Drama Is Overrated Exacta ($12.80)
Double (Races 6-7, $12.20)
Pick 3 (Races 5-7, $22.20)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $16.60)
WO 7 San Nicola Thunder/Occasional View Exacta ($9.10)

SA 1 (Mcl-50k, 8T) #4 CHRISTMAS CAROL (4-1) gets in light with Roman (1-for-1 w/Baltas) and earned her best Pace Rating yet (125) in a show finish at one mile May 18 (99 Final). She should be tracking slower splits today. #7 Halo Ahead (3-1) is tagged for the first time. She set a slow pace and weakened at 9f May 20 (102 Final) and rallied for 4th at this distance April 9 (108 Final). #2 Oh Scatty Oh (5-2) earned the best last race Final Rating (111) in an even 4th at this course/distance June 10. She drops in for a tag but loses Prat to #3 Lethal Legacy (6-1) and Pedroza is 1-for-10 w/Miller. #1 Lookinforadanger (9-2) might be the one to catch and Papaprodromou is 5-for-22 with this type of layoff runner. Bejarano is 2-for-3 with this outfit and she got a 147 pace + 108 Final at this course/distance last June. #5 She’s to Blame (8-1) stretches back out 2nd off the shelf and earned a 107 Final Rating in a 9f turf route at DMR last fall. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Trifecta 4-7/1-2/3-5  

SA 2 (Mcl-50k, 5f) #6 SPIRIT OF SHANGHAI (4-1) looked good firing a gate bullet for this June 14 and Brocklebank can strike with a firster. She is a $72k purchase from the first crop of 2012 juvenile champ Shanghai Bobby (5 starters, 0 winners) and dam has thrown three winners. #5 Naughty Sophie (7-2) is a first timer for the productive Ocampo/Miller team and dam’s other two starters won. They only paid $7k for the Keeneland sales grad. #7 Willows Babe (3-1) debuts for the recently hot Bejarano/Baltas team and Gemologist is a 15% win early sire. She sold for $14k. #9 Paws Up Kaylin (4-1) debuts for O’Neill and dam’s other two starters won. Frey shows a +ROI with this barn. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/5-7-9, Exacta 5-7-9/6  

SA 3 (OC-62.5k, 8f) #1 CANDY PROMISES (3-1) has been sharp since last April and stretched out and held 2nd vs. similar course/distance foes May 21. It is a very good sign that his Pace Rating went up (137) and so did his Final Rating (141) and he figures in the hunt throughout from the rail under Talamo. He showed the ability to sit and pounce in sprints and that versatility might play well in a race with multiple speed types. #6 Taman Guard (7-2) has only routed once and that was a 3rd (beaten 1 length) in the Shared Belief last summer (134 Final). He returned with a local extended sprint win May 27 (132 Final) and Smith is 2-for-2 with him. #2 El Huerfano (2-1) is out of the stakes ranks but has only scored once in his last 15 starts and is 1-for-9 at SA. The early/pressing type gets in light with Roman and is usually in the mix vs. optional claiming foes. #3 Ike Walker (4-1) is back on dirt after finishing up the track in the G3 All American at GG. The 3-time course and distance winner gets pace to chase in the paper race and has the numbers to win this (141 Final March 17). THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta 1-3-6/2

SA 4 (G3 Desert Stormer, 6f) #3 BELLAMENTARY (7-2) goes turf/dirt and D’Amato excels route/sprint. She set solid splits and held the place in her flat mile turf return May 19 and appears poised to run past these under Prat. She looked good working for this June 12. #5 Bendable (5-2) makes her first start in 8+ months and runs well fresh. She is 2-for-2 at SA. #4 Pretty N Cool (9-5) is 3-for-3 at this distance and figures in the hunt throughout. #1 Invested Prospect (4-1) is unbeaten in sprints and is 4-for-4 at this distance but her numbers are a bit light. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 1-3-5/4   

SA 5 (OC-40k, 12T) #1 IT’S THE ICE (5-1) was passively handled May 20, switches to Pereira (5-for-10 w/D’Amato), and might get brave if able to amble along on the front end from the rail (140 Pace Rating April 29). Not sure he wants to go this far. #6 French Getaway (5-2) tried a turf marathon for the first time and checked in an okay 3rd April 21 (129 Final, 3 next out winners). He owns a nice long distance pedigree (Giant’s Causeway – A. P. Indy) and might be along in time under Kent D. #7 Klondike Creek (9-5) finished less than a length in front of French Getaway April 21 and landed the place again at 10f May 20. He figures in the hunt throughout under Prat. #2 Cafe Flavor (8-1) earned improved Pace (102) and Final (135) numbers in an easy turf maiden win at GG May 14. Stevens hops aboard the lightly raced, improving colt but Gallagher is only 1-for-21 with his recent grads trying winners for the first time. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta 1-2-6/7, Trifecta 1-2-7/1-2-7/6 
    
SA 6 (Clm-12.5k, 6.5f) #7 CUPID’S BEAU (8-5) finally graduated May 28 and he rolled home as the chalk that day (126 Pace + 126 Final). A repeat of his last would enough to beat these and he still might win if he regresses a few points. #4 Justonemoretimebaby (7-2) has never raced for a tag this low and looks like the one to catch under Frey. #1 Loud Stalker (4-1) turns back, drops, and should show speed from the rail. #6 True Ranger (6-1) removes blinkers after finishing 3rd from post 10 May 27 (122 Pace + 95 Final). He was in the Top 3 in 4 of his last 5. THE PLAYS: Exacta 7-6, Trifecta Key 7/1-4-6   

SA 7 (MSW, 5f) #2 DRAMA IS OVERRATED (4-1) took much more action than stablemate Stay Glad but stumbled at the break and finished less than a length behind that one for Miyadi last time (93 pace + 81 Final). Roman sticks and better seems likely. #6 Bookies Luck (7-2) landed the show in both starts and is back with CA-breds (138 Pace + 81 Final May 26). He earned a 99 Final Rating in his wet track bow May 6. Miyadi’s second entrant, #5 Get Em Up Scott (5-1) debuts with Prat in the saddle. Grazen is a decent win early sire and he worked from the gate June 10. Miyadi’s third entrant, #1 Stay Glad (9-2), was up for the show from the inside post at 25-1 in his local 4.5f bow June 2. He gets another 1/2 furlong to play with and might improve second time out. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-6, Exacta 1-2-5/6 

SA 8 (Hcp-25k, 8T) #2 AN UNUSUAL GROUP (6-1) landed the show in a downhill sprint May 29 (82 FIRE + 128 CPR). Machowsky shows a +ROI second after the claim, Bejarano is 1-for-1 with this barn, and she is 6-for-13 at this distance. #5 Wealthy Shipman (9-2) stretched out successfully May 19 (74 FIRE + 118 CPR) and was taken for $25k by Hollendorfer. Talamo chose her over #4 Girl Downstairs (6-1). The latter flopped as my top in a local dirt route May 29. She ran well in 4 of 6 turf starts (82 FIRE + 123 Final Feb 9). #10 Moonless Sky (7-2) was placed first in the Fran’s Valentine and got a 95 FIRE + 134 CPR). The fast pace set up her late charge last time and the number may be inflated. Kent D rides her well. #9 Liar’s Smoker (9-2) gets in light with sharp apprentice Roman and the tactical type is 7-for-18 on turf. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/4-5, Exacta 4-5/2, Trifecta 2-4-5/2-4-5-9-10/2-4-5    

SA 9 (OC-40k, 8f) #6 PIONEER LAD (6-1) was competitive in all three outings and looked good beating Omega Moon for new trainer Baltas May 13 (84 FIRE + 129 CPR). He is bred to go this far (Pioneerof the Nile – Lido Palace) and should offer a hint of value. #1 Show Me Da Lute (5-1) won his local two turn bow last fall (80 FIRE + 116 CPR) and has not been seen since finishing last in the G1 Los Al Futurity. He is working with a purpose for sharp layoff trainer Baffert and could easily return running for Bejarano (5-for-10 w/Baffert). #7 Honor and Courage (3-1) finally graduated in his seventh start (86 FIRE + 117 CPR). He will probably stalk the pace under Roman. #3 Boy Howdy (8-1) earned numbers good enough to win this in CA-bred sprints on March 5 and April 14 but he might not want to go this far. #8 Saint Dermot (6-1) stretches back out and can move up 2nd off the shelf. He owns competitive numbers but is only 1 for his last 11. Stevens is 2-for-3 with Glatt recently. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/1-7, Exacta 1-7/6, Superfecta 1-6/1-6-7/ALL/1-3-6-7-8   

SA 10 (MSW, 6.5T) #11 BREATHE (7-2) hit the board in all three dirt sprints at DMR last summer and Sadler’s (+ ROI first turf) returnee looked great working for this June 1. Prat is 2-for-6 with this barn (all 6 in Top 3) and she appears ready to roll off the bench. #10 She’sashocker (7-2) missed by a nose down the hill May 29 (138 Pace + 125 Final). #8 True Testament (7-2) finished 2nd or 3rd in 8 of 9 starts. #3 Mag the Mighty (8-1) is working well enough for the productive Maldonado/D’Amato team and barn shows a +ROI first turf. #5 Creme de La (6-1) turns back, adds blinkers, and finished 2nd or 3rd in 9 of 10 overseas turf outings. THE PLAYS: #11 to win, Trifecta 3-10-11/3-5-8-10-11/5-8, Superfecta 10-11/8-10-11/ALL/3-5-8-10-11  

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (4-7-2-1-3-5)
2   (6-5-7-9)
3   (1-6-2-3)
4   (3-5-4-1)
5   (1-6-7-2)
6   (7-4-1-6)
7   (2-6-5-1)
8   (2-5-4-10-9)
9   (6-1-7-3-8)
10 (11-10-8-3-5)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2): 
Ticket 1 (4-6)
Ticket 2 (4/5-6-7-9)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-4-5-7/6)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (6-1)
Ticket 1 (6/1-2-3-6)
Ticket 3 (5-6-7-9/1)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3): 
Ticket 1 (4-6-1)
Ticket 2 (4/5-6-7-9/1-2-3-6)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-4-5-7/6/1-2-3-6)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-4-5-7/5-6-7-9/1)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 7-10

WO Best Bets (Races 8, 9)

WO 7 – OC-62.5k, 6.5T
Primary – #7 OCCASIONAL VIEW, #2 San Nicola Thunder
Secondary – #5 Nashville Knight
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta 7/2-5, Exacta 2-5/7, Trifecta 7/ALL/2-5
20 cent Pick 4: 2-7/2-7/6-8/1-2 ($3.20) 
20 cent Pick 4: 2-7/2-3-4-6-7/6-8/1-2 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 2-5-7/2-7/6-8/1-2 ($4.80)
20 cent Pick 4: 2-7/2-7/6-7-8-9/1-2 ($6.40)
20 cent Pick 4: 2-7/2-7/6-8/1-2-6-7-8 ($8)

WO 8 – Trillium, 8.5f
Primary – #7 UCHENNA, #2 Kyllachy Queen
Secondary – #4 Minks Aprise, #6 Hot Kiss, #3 Lilly’s Goldie
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta 7/2-4, Exacta 2-4/7, Superfecta 2-7/2-4-7/ALL/2-3-4-6-7

WO 9 – Alw-1x, 7f
Primary – #6 MODUS OPERANDI, #8 Partyonthepatio
Secondary – #7 No Soup For You, #9 Sweet Rose
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta 6/7-8-9, Exacta 7-8-9/6, Trifecta 6-8/6-7-8-9/6-7-8-9

WO 10 – OC-40k, 8.5T
Primary – #1 IT’S A BREEZE, #2 Artistico
Secondary – #6 Leopard Cat, #7 Fritzie’s Boy, #8 Party at Eight
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta 1/2-6-7, Exacta 2-6-7/1, Superfecta 1-2/1-2-6/ALL/1-2-6-7-8

Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 17

Santa Anita Park full card + WO 7-10 for Saturday (6-17-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
Weather: Sunny. High 95. SA Best Bets (races 9, 10)
Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 1 GENTRIFIED ($9.00), Trifecta ($100.30)
Double (Races 1-2, $228.80)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $435.30)
SA 8 HAY DUDE ($6.80)
Double (Races 7-8, $50.20)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $35.00)
SA 10 OREGON (SA Best Bet #2, $5.00)
Double (Races 9-10, $22.20)
Pick 3 (Races 8-10, $38.30)
WO 7 Trifecta (3-5-1, $2 Payout – $60.30)
WO 8 SALTY BREEZE (WO Best Bet #1, $6.50)

SA 1 (OC-50k, 7f) #4 GENTRIFIED (4-1) needs to run faster to compete here but might do just that in his second start as a gelding. He cuts back to his winning distance (93 CPR March 10) 2nd off the shelf and Prat climbs aboard. #1 Face of Victory was an okay 2nd on a wet track in his first start vs. winners May 7 (98 CPR). He graduated on a fast track at this course/distance April 1 (113 CPR) and is firing Los Al bullets for this. #2 Squared Squared (9-2) goes turf/dirt and route/sprint for Sadler. He did get a 109 CPR on a local fast track at 8f Feb 2. #7 Quiet Dude (8-1) switches surfaces and received a 111 CPR in his local flat mile graduation run April 21. He was 2nd to Face of Victory April 1 and landed the place behind Gentrified March 10. #6 True Valor (4-1) romped with the addition of blinkers after a 6+ month layoff May 26 (115 CPR). He might be this good. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Trifecta 1-4/1-4-7/1-2-4-6-7

SA 2 (MSW, 6.5T) #9 INDEPENDENT WOMAN (12-1) gets in light with Roman and Yakteen is 2-for-6 debut turf and 2-for-9 w/turf sprinters (7 of 9 in Top 3). Unusual Heat is a good turf sire and dam has tossed two turf winners. #6 Lady Acclamation (8-1) chased strong splits before throwing in the towel in her flat mile bow April 29 (1-3 finishers next out winners). Dam has tossed a turf winner and she might improve down the hill. #11 Jabber Now (3-1) stalked and was second best in an improved downhill effort May 5 (120 Pace + 111 Final). #7 R Sunday Surprise (6-1) moves to the Mulhall barn and is back with maidens in her first start in 7+ months. She removes blinkers and dam has tossed a turf winner. #4 Berezina (6-1) has some positives and negatives. Tribal Rule is a solid grass sire, dam’s other starter won on turf, and Prat takes the call. Powell is 0-for-20 with first timers, 0-for-5 first turf, and 0-for-9 in turf sprints. #5 Aflewency (12-1) finished 6th of 9 in her dirt sprint bow. French is 1-for-2 first turf and Stevens has connected with this barn in the past. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Trifecta 6-9/6-7-9-11/4-5-6-7-9-11

SA 3 (MSW, 5.5f) #4 ROOSEVELT (3-1) had an uncomfortable beginning from the rail as the favorite in his long ago DMR bow and never got involved vs. the likes of Gormley. Callaghan trains him now and he show a +ROI with this type of layoff runner. Stevens rides the $350k son of Bodemeister and he should be viewed as first timer all over again. #5 Six Cider (3-1) was an okay 4th in his DMR bow last summer and the 2-3 finishers were next out winners. Prat hops aboard Hollendorfer’s $210k purchase. #3 Sakab (5-2) sports back-to-back six furlong gate moves at Los Al and O’Neill’s $80k purchase is bred to win early (Uncle Mo 18% debut sire) #2 Microrithms (2-1) is training like he has some ability for Baffert (solid 6f gate works May 31 + June 7). They only paid $50k for him. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 3-4-5/2, Trifecta 2-3-4/2-3-4/5

SA 4 (Clm-6250k, 5.5f) #8 STATELY COMMAND (5-1) switches barns via claim and can compete here if she runs back to her local sprint win vs. this kind April 6 (104 Pace + 99 Final). #2 Where’s the D (2-1) drops, switches surfaces, and hit the board in her last two dirt sprints (125 Pace + 101 Final April 1). She gets in light with Roman. #5 Trinitys Turn (5-1) turns back off the claim and owns okay dirt route numbers but has never done much in sprint races. She did get a 113 Pace + 96 Final in a local extended sprint April 23. #1 Thames Valley (6-1) is a sharp Los Al shipper in an empty heat and should be forwardly placed from the rail. Her stablemate is my top pick. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 1-5-8/2, Trifecta 1-2-8/1-2-8/5

SA 5 (OC-40k, 6f) #1 JUNIOR GILLIAM (3-1) is sharp, fresh, and likes this course/distance. Prat rides him well. #3 Forest Blue (5-2) always fires at this course (9-4-4-1) and distance (5-4-1-0). He received a 135 Pace + 144 Final in a sharp course-distance win as the favorite May 18 (blinkers on). #2 It’s Tiz Time (12-1) earned a decent number (135 Final) in his winning course/distance bow April 20 and the 2-3 finishers were next out winners. #4 Rocket Fuel (6-1) shows up in the D’Amato barn and both of his local wins were at this distance. He figures to stalk the pace under Maldonado but might need the outing (first start in 8+ months). THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-3, Trifecta 1-3/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4

SA 6 (G2 Honeymoon, 9T) #2 PACIFIC WIND (9-2) has upside with only two starts under her belt. Stalkers at a mile tend to do well at nine furlongs and she can turn the tables on #4 Sircat Sally (3-5). The latter had everything her own way in her last pair and could easily run her record to 7-for-7. #1 Zaffinah (6-1) has won two straight and has the ability to go with Sircat Sally early. If that happens, Pacific Wind could be the first to attack. #5 Beau Recall (4-1) also tries to turn the tables on Sircat Sally after finishing behind her nemesis at a flat mile in her last pair. She packs a decent stretch kick but will she sustain her run at 9f? She could sweep past them all if she does. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/4-5, Exacta 4-5/2, Trifecta 2-5/2-4-5/2-4-5

SA 7 (Mcl-20k, 7f) #6 RICK’S DREAM (6-1) broke last and rallied for 3rd in his local bow May 20 (81 Final) and the runner-up was a next out winner. He receives an apprentice rider upgrade from Fuentes to Roman and Palma is good with second timers. #13 Kenzou’s Empire (4-1) has the classic turn back pattern for Baltas. He set solid splits and held 3rd in a similar flat mile affair May 27 (125 Pace + 101 Final). #11 Where’sthemoneyjack (9-2) turns back and Marquez is 2-for-5 with this type of dropper. #5 Zachian (8-1) hit the board in 3 of 4 and Guce is 4-for-7 w/Carava. #8 Specimen (7-2) is 0-for-12 and tough to use on top but did run 2nd at this distance May 14 (120 Pace + 1-2 Final). #9 Supreme Giant (20-1) has never raced for a $20k tag and I like the rider switch to Ocampo. I have had some success keying him in 3rd in the past. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta Box 6-13, Trifecta 6-11-13/5-8-9/5-8-9

SA 8 (Str-Hcp, 8T) #5 HAY DUDE (7-2) exits a nice $25k downhill win (90 FIRE + 140 CPR) for Prat/Miller and he handles a flat mile. #3 Sky Preacher (3-1) beat $50k claimers March 25 (98 FIRE + 136 CPR) and Sadler took him from Baltas that day (runner-up next out winner). Bejarano rides back. #9 Wood Machine (9-2) is 6-for-10 at this distance on turf and won at 8f here May 20 (84 FIRE + 127 CPR). #1 Yes Yes Yes (5-1) ran well in his last four and figures in the hunt throughout from the rail. #2 Buymeabond (12-1) is capable of unleashing a nice late kick at this distance on turf and returning rider Van Dyke shows a +ROI w/Hollendorfer. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta 5/3-9, Exacta 3-9/5, Trifecta 3-5-9/1-2-3-5-9/3-5-9

SA 9 (G2 Summertime Oaks, 8.5f) #7 MAJESTIC QUALITY (5-1) finally graduated in her 10th career start and she looked good and finished fast (31.5) for Team Desormeaux in that May 21 affair (131 Final). She was 2nd to Farrell in the G2 Rachel Alexandra Feb 25 and gets pace to chase in the paper race. #3 It Tiz Well (7-2) is usually right there at the finish when she is not running against the likes of Abel Tasman, Paradise Woods, and Unique Bella. The G3 Honeybee winner (143 Final) dons the hood, attracts Smith, and projects a stalking trip. #6 Faypien (7-2) is on the upswing for Baffert and the $720k purchase is bred to go this far. She is 2-for-3 with her lone loss an okay 3rd to Paradise Woods in her sprint bow. Bejarano is 5-for-10 w/Baffert but she won’t offer much value and I am concerned about her slow final 1/4 (26.1) in the Angel Flight (135 Final). #9 Mopotism (6-1) owns early/pressing versatility and two route wins including the Island Fashion at Sunland (140 Final). She was a nose behind It Tiz Well in the SA Oaks and caught the slop in the Ky Oaks. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 7/3-6-9, Exacta 3-6-9/7, Trifecta 3-7/3-6-7-9/3-6-7-9

SA 10 (MSW, 8T) #6 OREGON (7-2) ran out of steam from post 10 as the favorite at 9f May 27 (78 FIRE + 120 CPR). He added blinkers and landed the place at this course/distance April 30 (81 FIRE + 128 CPR) and might bounce back under Stevens.  #2 Kopitar (5-2) hit the board in all three downhill sprints earlier this year and returns as a gelding for D’Amato. #11 Member State (4-1) invades from Ireland and Callaghan is 3-for-9 with shippers to the US. Prat rides and he was 2nd to Beau Recall (see race 6) in an overseas extended sprint on turf last summer. #7 Divisor (12-1) switches to turf and I like the Pereira/D’Amato team (5-for-10 combo). The $120k Keeneland sales grad adds blinkers and might improve. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/2-7-11, Exacta 2-7-11/6, Trifecta 6-11/2-6-7-11/2-6-7-11

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (4-1-2-7-6)
2   (9-6-11-7-4-5)
3   (4-5-3-2)
4   (8-2-5-1)
5   (1-3-2-4)
6   (2-4-5)
7   (6-13-11-5-8-9)
8   (5-3-9-1-2)
9   (7-3-6-9)
10 (6-2-11-7)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (4-9)
Ticket 2 (4/4-5-6-7-9-11)
Ticket 3 (1-2-4-6-7/9)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (9-4)
Ticket 1 (9/2-3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (4-5-6-7-9-11/4)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (4-9-4)
Ticket 2 (4/4-5-6-7-9-11/2-3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (1-2-4-6-7/9/2-3-4-5)
Ticket 4 (1-2-4-6-7/4-5-6-7-9-11/4)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 7-10

WO Best Bets (Races 8, 10)

WO 7 – Mcl-12.5k, 6f
Primary – #1 MARY SUE WELOVEYOU, #3 Dance On Stage
Secondary – #7 Pasture Curfew, #5 Megalin Candy
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-3, Trifecta 1-3/1-3-5-7/1-3-5-7
20 cent Pick 4: 1-3/2-8/2-4/2-10 ($3.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-3/1-2-5-6-8/2-4/2-10 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-3-5-7/2-8/2-4/2-10 ($6.40)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-3/2-8/1-2-4-5-6-7/2-10 ($9.60)
20 cent Pick 4 1-3/2-8/2-4/2-5-10-11 ($6.40)

WO 8 – OC-62.5k, 6.5T
Primary – #8 SALTY BREEZE, #2 Chiringuita
Secondary – #1 Blossom d’Orange, #6 Street Cash, #5 Veaisha
Wagers: #8 to win, Exacta 8/1-2, Exacta 1-2/8, Trifecta 2-8/1-2-5-6-8/1-2-5-6-8

WO 9 – Alw-1x, 7f
Primary – #2 IRON SHORE, #4 Flowmotion
Secondary – #6 Imperatore, #7 Salsa Bay, #5 Lunar Light, #1 Call Me Wally
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta 2/4-6-7, Exacta 4-6-7/2, Trifecta 2-4/1-2-4-5-6-7/2-4-6-7

WO 10 – MOC-40k, 6.5T
Primary – #10 PERLARANA, #2 Executive Sight
Secondary – #5 Seattle Affair, #11 Thespis
Wagers: #10 to win, Exacta Box 2-10, Trifecta 2-10/ALL/5-11

Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 16

Santa Anita Park full card + WO 5-8 for Friday (6-16-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
Weather: Sunny. High 96. SA Best Bets (races 6, 7, 9)
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 3 SHEZA FIRSTSAMURAI ($3.20), Superfecta ($389.50)
Double (Races 2-3, $13.40)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $20.80)
Double (Races 3-4, $5.40)
Pick 3 (Races 2-4, $12.90)
Pick 3 (Races 3-5, $30.40)
SA 6 PASCHALITSA (Best Bet #1, $12.80), Exacta ($16.40)
Double (Races 5-6, $114.80)
Pick 3 (Races 4-6, $80.30)
Double (Races 6-7, $103.00)
Pick 3 (Races 5-7, $411.10)
SA 8 Pure Perfection/Li’l Grazen Exacta ($111.00)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $2,756,70)
WO 7 DANI’S VICTORY ($4.50), Exacta ($18.90)

SA 1 (Mcl-50k, 9T) #1 STREET RULES (4-1) returned as a gelding and just missed the show from post 12 April 8 (first start since 2015). He sports five works for this and should be fitter. #9 Fregosi (3-1) removed blinkers and earned his best numbers yet in a show finish vs. similar course/distance foes May 25 (82 FIRE + 117 CPR). #3 Marq One (3-1) is back in for a tag for Team Desormeaux (4-for-12 combo) and he landed the show in his last two maiden claiming tries. #6 Uber Star (5-2) lost valuable early position (bumped, squeezed start) and ended up splitting a 10-horse field as the favorite vs. similar local turf foes May 25. He missed by a nose vs. MSW turf rivals April 16 and might bounce back for new trainer Morey. #2 Odyssey Explorer (5-1) gets in light with Roman and earned competitive numbers in a place finish April 8 (72 FIRE + 113 CPR).  THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-9, Trifecta 1-9/1-2-3-6-9/1-2-3-6-9

SA 2 (MSW, 5f) #6 SMILING TIGRESS (5-1) debuts for low profile trainer Bernstein and Bejarano (1-for-1 w/trainer) ends up here. She looked good working for this June 4. #9 Sapphire Kid (4-1) is an above average $60k Richard’s Kid firster and dam’s other three starters won. Miller shows a +ROI with first timers and her last two works were from the gate. #8 Native Jaylo (8-1) debuts for win early sire Tribal Rule and dam’s other seven starters won. Bonde shows a +ROI debut MSW. #3 Empress of Luv (3-1) hopped at the start and landed the place from the outside post in her local 4.5f bow May 18. #10 Spiced Perfection (7-2) bobbled at the break, raced 4-wide, and was the third nose on the line as the strong favorite in her SA bow June 1. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Trifecta 6-8-9/3-10/3-10

SA 3 (Clm-12.5k, 5.5f) #4 SHEZA FIRSTSAMURAI (9-5) earned a 125 Pace + 110 Final Rating as the strong favorite in her local maiden breaker at 6f May 25 and the runner-up was a next out winner. She figures to repeat with a similar effort. #3 Yavrig (8-1) adds blinkers and likes landing the place. I like the rider switch to Theriot.  #8 Sharp Holiday (4-1) landed the show in 5 of her last 7 (120 Pace + 96 Final June 1) and might complete the Trifecta again. THE PLAYS: Exacta 4-3, Trifecta 4/ALL/8, Superfecta 4/3-8/3-8/ALL, Superfecta 4/3-8/ALL/3-8, Superfecta 4/ALL/3-8/3-8

SA 4 (MSW, 5f) #2 MASCO YODELER (4-1) was the beaten favorite from the inside post (4th by 7) May 20. He was only 1.5 lengths out of 2nd and Hollendorfer shows a +ROI with second timers. Dam has tossed 9 winners (2 stakes winners) and he had a decent work in company June 10 (last three works at SA). #5 Cono (5-2) took action and finished 2nd on a wet track May 6. He drilled a bullet from the gate June 10 and McCarthy shows a +ROI with second timers. #6 Powerful Thirst (4-1) debuts for win early sire Grazen and dam’s other two starters were stakes winners. His last three works were from the gate and Prat is 2-for-5 w/Miyadi (+ROI debut MSW). THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/5-6, Exacta 5-6/2

SA 5 (OC-16k, 7f) #3 PAPERCOVERSROCK (5-1) makes her first start in more than a year for sharp layoff trainer Morey. She owns competitive numbers and rates a look if she is ready to roll off the bench. #5 All of a Sudden (7-2) was competitive in all three local dirt sprints and won her longest event at 6.5f Jan 28 (99 Pace + 111 Final). #7 Miz Strawberry Dee (3-1) switches surfaces for sharp trainer Chambers and Stevens rides back. She has won on dirt before. #2 Princess Kendra (5-1) fired Exacta shots in 6 of her last 7 and has the numbers to win this (101 Pace + 116 Final May 29). She adds blinkers for new trainer Saldana. #8 Tee Em Eye (8-1) makes her first start in 364-days and Headley is 4-for-12 with this type of layoff runner. #6 Dragon Flower (9-2) goes turf/dirt and route/sprint and went all the way at this course/distance April 23 (131 Pace + 111 Final). THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Trifecta 3-5/3-5-7/2-3-5-6-7-8

SA 6 (Clm-16k, 7f) #8 PASCHALITSA (7-2) turns back and removes blinkers after the Carava claim and Prat is 3-for-6 with this outfit. She was 2nd in a local flat mile claimer Feb 24 (107 Pace + 104 Final). #4 Shakti (5-2) caught a wet track vs. optional claiming company May 6 and won a local fast track sprint off the bench April 6 (92 Pace + 116 Final). Arroyo is 2-for-2 with her and Miller shows a +ROI 3rd off the shelf. #7 Scathing (9-2) gets in light with Roman and Cerin is 32% sprint-route-sprint. She was 3rd at this course/distance April 23 (128 pace + 99 Final). THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 8/4-7, Exacta 4-7/8

SA 7 (Clm-35k, 9T) #4 EXCESSIVE KID (4-1) gets in light with Roman and was a good 2nd at this course/distance March 30 (blinkers on, 92 FIRE + 131 CPR). #6 Path of David (5-1) has not won since winning the Eddie Logan in 2015 (8-race losing streak). He ran out of steam late (4th by 2) in a local 10f turf race May 20 (89 FIRE + 132 CPR) and new trainer Periban adds blinkers and Bejarano. #9 Guggenheim (5-1) exits a willing 3rd (placed 2nd via DQ) at a flat mile (82 FIRE + 123 CPR) but both wins were down the hill in 2015 and he might not want to go this far. Prat knows him now. #7 Little Scotty (5-1) owns the best overall Pace Ratings in a race without much early zip but is 0-for-7 at SA and 0-for-8 at this distance. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 4/6-7-9, Exacta 6-7-9/4

SA 8 (Mcl-30k, 8f) #10 QUIET NO MORE (7-2) is getting better for Harty and should be grinding away in the lane under Bejarano.  She earned a 102 Final Rating May 19 and another forward move probably gets the job done. #7 Li’l Grazen (5-2) is tagged for the first time and gets in light with Roman. Her numbers were rising prior to easing as the favorite May 28 and she might rebound in a big way 3rd off the shelf. #3 Majestic Diva (6-1) bettered her Final Rating in all five outings and was only 1.75 lengths behind Quiet No More last time. 4 Pure Perfection (15-1) stalked and finished 5th (beaten 12 lengths) in a local sprint May 11 and the 2-3 finishers were next out winners. Brinkerhoff shows a +ROI first route and she looms a pace factor at the very least. THE PLAYS: #10 to win, Exacta 3-4-10/7, Trifecta 4-7-10/4-7-10/3

SA 9 (OC-62.5k, 10T) #6 VIGILANTE (4-1) missed by a head vs. similar course/distance foes April 28 (88 FIRE + 141 CPR). He was a decent sort in 2015, missed all of 2016, and has only started twice this year for D’Amato, who also saddles #2 Newsman (7-2). The latter scored off a long layoff April 1 (81 FIRE + 140 CPR) and regressed April 28 (127 CPR). Prat sticks and he can bounce back. #8 Royal Albert Hall (7-2) was 2nd in a similar 9f turf affair May 14 (84 FIRE + 126 CPR) and might move up 3rd off the shelf. His lone win in 20 turf tries was at this course/distance (March 2016). THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/2-8, Exacta 2-8/6, Trifecta 2-6/ALL/8

SA 10 (Mcl-30k, 5.5f) #11 PRINCESS AUBREY (12-1) earned her best Final Rating yet (86) in a show finish off a layoff at 5f May 29. Roman sticks and any forward move puts her in the mix at a price. #1 Sally Simpson (3-1) drops, turns back, and drilled a bullet for this June 8. #8 Furious Fire (8-1) improved second time out when last seen at DMR (114 Pace + 87 Final) and Glenn is 9-for-35 with this type of returnee. #4 Todos Santos (6-1) was less than a length behind Princess Aubrey in her bow and Sadler is 10-for-47 with second timers. THE PLAYS: #11 to win, Exacta 11/1-4-8, Exacta 1-4-8/11

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (1-9-3-6-2)
2   (6-9-8-3-10)
3   (4-3-8)
4   (2-5-6)
5   (3-5-7-2-8-6)
6   (8-4-7)
7   (4-6-9-7)
8   (10-7-3-4)
9   (6-2-8)
10 (11-1-8-4)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (1-6)
Ticket 2 (1/3-6-8-9-10)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-6-9/6)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (6-4)
Ticket 1 (6/3-4-8)
Ticket 3 (3-6-8-9-10/4)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (1-6-4)
Ticket 2 (1/3-6-8-9-10/3-4-8)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-6-9/6/3-4-8)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-6-9/3-6-8-9-10/4)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 4-7

WO Best Bets (Races 4, 6)

WO 4 – MOC-40k, 6.5T
Primary – #9 BAD NANA, #12 So Miesque
Secondary – #2 Hailey’s Prize, #8 Redwin Romp, #5 Roxy Red
Wagers: #9 to win, Trifecta 5-8-9-12/2/5-8-9-12, Superfecta 9-12/2-9-12/ALL/2-5-8-9-12
20 cent Pick 4: 9-12/9-10/3-9/3-9 ($3.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 9-12/7-9-10/3-9/3-9 ($4.80)
20 cent Pick 4: 2-5-8-9-12/9-10/3-9/3-9 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 9-12/9-10/1-2-3-9/3-9 ($6.40)
20 cent Pick 4: 9-12/9-10/3-9/1-3-5-8-9 ($8)

WO 5 – Clm-10k, 6f
Primary – #10 SOUTHERN PUZZLE, #9 Thirteen Diamonds
Secondary – #7 Catch Some Z’s
Wagers: #10 to win, Exacta 10/7-9, Trifecta 7-9/10

WO 6 – Str-Alw, 7T
Primary – #9 ATYPICAL, #3 Mechanical
Secondary – #2 Brilliant Charlie, #1 Mister Nada
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta Box 3-9, Trifecta 3-9/ALL/1-2

WO 7 – Mcl-25k, 6.5f
Primary – #9 DANI’S VICTORY, #3 He Started It
Secondary – #1 Starinthemaking, #8 Master Macduff, #5 Cry in the Wild
Wagers:  #9 to win, Exacta Box 3-9, Trifecta 3-9/1-3-5-8-9/1-3-5-8-9

Santa Anita Park Full Card Recap for June 11

Santa Anita Park full card + BEL 7-10 + WO 7-10 for Sunday (6-11-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
Weather: Partly Cloudy. High 70. SA Best Bets (races 4, 10)
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 2 PASSION FOR PAPA ($2.40)
Double (Races 2-3, $4.60)
SA 4 American Pastime/Kimbear Exacta (SA Best Bet #1, $3.80)
Pick 3 (Races 2-4, $6.00)
SA 5 KENDA ($9.40), Exacta ($11.00)
Double (Races 4-5, $24.00)
Pick 3 (Races 3-5, $26.20)
EARLY PICK 4 (Races 2-5, $23.90)
Double (Races 5-6, $99.00)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $129.90)
BEL 7 FAYEQ ($4.70)
WO 10 DEEP FREEZE ($15,00)

SA 1 (OC-40k, 6f)
Primary – #2 SOCIAL TABOO
Secondary – #3 Gemini Journey, #5 Tiz Deliteful, #1 Lady Cloud
Wagers: Exacta 2/1-5, Trifecta Key 2/1-3-5

SA 2 (Mcl-20k, 6f)
Primary – #2 PASSION FOR PAPA
Secondary – #4 Lea’s Reward, #7 Patience Lady
Wagers: Exacta 2-4, Trifecta 2-4/2-4-7/2-4-7

SA 3 (Thor’s Echo, 6f)
Primary – #2 HE WILL, #4 Big Macher
Secondary – #5 Got Even, #3 K Thirty Eight, #1 Gold Rush Dancer
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-4

SA 4 (OC-75k, 6f)
Primary – #6 KIMBEAR, #5 American Pastime
Secondary – #2 Leading Score
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta 6/2-5, Exacta 2-5/6

Best Bet Analysis: Kimbear finished a clear 2nd to American Anthem in the G3 Laz Barrera and the Baffert trainee returned to romp in the G2 Woody Stephens on the Belmont Stakes undercard. He might be classier than these. American Pastime looked good in his bow at 6f and exits a troubled place finish off a layoff at 5.5f second time out. Leading Score exits a fast wire job maiden win for Baffert.

SA 5 (Special Goddess, 6.5T)
Primary – #3 KENDA, #2 Madam Dancealot
Secondary – #6 Storm the Hill, #4 Spy Ring
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta Box 2-3, Exacta 2-3/4-6

SA 6 (MSW, 7f)
Primary – #5 CLASSY TUNE, #6 Tiz the Light
Secondary – #3 Tiz My Love, #1 Reiki Baby
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta Box 5-6, Trifecta Key 5/1-3-6

SA 7 (Clm-20k, 8T)
Primary – #1 LOB CITY, #2 Mint Julep Taffy
Secondary – #7 Dissension, #4 Brookes All Mine
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-2, Exacta 1-2/4-7

SA 8 (Clm-25k, 6.5f)
Primary – #4 GETOFFMYBACK, #3 Hitters Park
Secondary – #7 Our Nation
Wagers: #4 to win, Exacta Box 3-4, Trifecta 3-4/3-4-7/3-4-7

SA 9 (MSW, 6f)
Primary – #1 LOVELY ANZI, #8 Brickhouse
Secondary – #4 Cayate, #5 Watered Down, #7 Desert Law
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta 1/4-8, Exacta 4-8/1, Superfecta 1-8/1-4-5-7-8/1-4-5-7-8/1-4-5-7-8

SA 10 (OC-62.5k, 8T)
Primary – #1 NODIAC, #6 Madame Stripes
Secondary – #9 Corps de Ballet, #8 Amboseli, #10 Eileen’s Girl
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-6, Trifecta 1-6/1-6-8-9-10/1-6-8-9-10

Best Bet Analysis: A projected hot pace scenario should set things up for the patient runners. Nodiac needed her downhill return and won a flat mile turf race under today’s rider Prat at DMR last summer (final 1/4 in 23.4). Madame Stripes was 2nd last time to subsequent Possibly Perfect winner Septembers Stars. In her local 8T win on April 16, she came home in 23.6.

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (2-3-5-1)
2   (2-4-7)
3   (2-4-5-3-1)
4   (6-5-2)
5   (3-2-6-4)
6   (5-6-3-1)
7   (1-2-7-4)
8   (4-3-7)
9   (1-8-4-5-7)
10 (1-6-9-8-10)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (2-2)
Ticket 2 (2/2-4-7)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-5/2)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (2-2)
Ticket 1 (2/1-2-3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (2-4-7/2)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (2-2-2)
Ticket 2 (2/2-4-7/1-2-3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-5/2/1-2-3-4-5)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-5/2-4-7/2)

BONUS RACES: BELMONT PARK 7-10

BEL Best Bets (Races 9, 10)

BEL 7 – MSW, 8.5f
Primary – #7 FAYEQ
Secondary – #1 Clear N Convincing, #5 Your Secret’s Safe
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta 7/1-5, Exacta 1-5/7
50 cent Pick 4: 7/7-11/3-7/9-11 ($4)
50 cent Pick 4: 7/1-2-7-11-13/3-7/9-11 ($10)
50 cent Pick 4: 1-5-7/7-11/3-7/9-11 ($12)
50 cent Pick 4: 7/7-11/1-3-4-7/9-11 ($8)
50 cent Pick 4: 7/7-11/3-7/5-6-9-10-11 ($10)

BEL 8 – OC-40k, 8T
Primary – #11 ORINO, #7 Startup Nation
Secondary – #2 Black Tide, #1 Rapt, #13 Uncle Sigh
Wagers: #11 to win, Exacta 11/2-7, Exacta 2-7/11, Trifecta 7-11/1-2-7-11-13/1-2-7-11-13

BEL 9 – Jersey Girl, 6f
Primary – #7 GOLDEN MISCHIEF, #3 Pretty City Dancer
Secondary – #1 Vertical Oak, #4 Sadie B Good
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta Box 3-7, Trifecta 3-7/1-3-4-7/1-3-4-7

Best Bet Analysis: The pace could be on the quick side and that would favor Golden Mischief. She is 3-for-3 at 6f. Pretty City Dancer packs a decent kick in shorter events and has been on a steady graded diet.

BEL 10 – Mcl-40k, 7T
Primary – #9 ACT SURPRISED, #11 Psychic Energy
Secondary – #10 Brooklyn Speights, #5 Legendary Humor, #6 Source Control
Exotics Only – #1 Outrageous Bet, #2 Colonel Andy
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta Box 9-11, Superfecta 9-11/9-10-11/1-2-5-6-9-10-11/1-2-5-6-9-10-11

Best Bet Analysis: Act Surprised took money and dueled outside before weakening late in his local $25k dirt sprint bow May 20, Dam has tossed two turf winners and Ortiz Jr. sticks with the $130k purchase.

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 7-10

WO Best Bets (Races 7, 9)

WO 7 – Plate Trial, 9f
Primary – #6 AVIE’S MESA, #1 Tiz a Slam
Secondary – #2 King and His Court, #3 State of Honor, #5 Guy Caballero
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta Box 1-6, Trifecta 1-6/1-2-6/1-2-3-5-6
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/3-11/2-10/7-10 ($3.20)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-2-3-5-6/3-11/2-10/7-10 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/3-5-11-12-13/2-10/7-10 ($8)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/3-11/1-2-5-8-9-10/7-10 ($9.60)
20 cent Pick 4: 1-6/3-11/2-10/4-7-8-9-10 ($8)

Best Bet Analysis: Avie’s Mesa was clearly second best and earned a competitive number in a local entry level route as the favorite May 13. He can move up in his second all-weather start. Tiz a Slam was the beaten favorite in the Wando but sports two bullets for this and should be much fitter.

WO 8 – OC-40k, 6f
Primary – #3 WAR FACTORY, #11 Bet On Mike
Secondary – #5 Marten River, #13 The Young Lord, #12 Where’s the Gold
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta Box 3-11, Trifecta 3-11/3-5-11-12-13/3-5-11-12-13

WO 9 – Woodbine Oaks, 9f
Primary – #2 INFLEXIBILITY, #10 Mythical Mission
Secondary – #9 Enstone, #5 Holy Helena, #8 Financial Recovery, #1 Stallion Heiress
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-10, Trifecta Box 2-8-10, Trifecta 2-10/1-2-5-8-9-10/2-5-9-10

Best Bet Analysis: Inflexibility ran well in both turf starts for Brown and I like that she closed into slow fractions in her bow and rallied into quick splits second time out. They paid $340k for her. Mythical Mission got no pace help in her last pair and finished a decent 3rd in her needed local prep for this in the 7f Fury April 30. She should be fitter.

WO 10 – Clm-20k, 8T
Primary – #10 DEEP FREEZE, #7 Unikat
Secondary – #4 Sombrero de Copa, #8 Chiefroll’nthunder, #9 Money Talks
Wagers: #10 to win, Exacta 7-8-10/4, Trifecta 7-10/4-7-8-9-10/4-7-8-9-10, Superfecta 7-10/4-7-10/ALL/4-7-8-9-10

Belmont Stakes Day Full Card Recap for June 10

Belmont Park full card analysis for Saturday (6-10-17)
By Jarrod Horak (horseracingnation.com, pick6blog.com, therunawayhorse.com)
Weather: Partly Cloudy. High 81. Best Bets (races 4, 6, 10, 11)
BEL Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, Grand Slam, and Late Pick 4 Tickets included below

HIGHLIGHTS (Results Based on $2 Payoffs):
BEL 1 Thebigfundamental/Hammerin Aamer Exacta ($38.60)
BEL 2 West Coast/You’re to Blame Exacta ($19.20)
BEL 5 SONGBIRD ($2.70), Exacta ($11.40)
Double (Races 4-5, $9.30)
BEL 8 Antonoe/Sassy Little Lila/Dickinson Trifecta ($293.00)
BEL 11 TAPWRIT (Best Bet #4, $12.60), Exacta ($45.20), Trifecta ($624.00), Superfecta ($4.486.00)
BEL 13 Do Share/Rivero Echo Exacta ($115.00)

BEL 1 (Alw-1x, 8.5f) #2 HAMMERIN AAMER (6-1) owns an ascending numbers pattern and really kicked it up a notch in back-to-back flat mile wins at LRL Jan 13 (Mcl-40k, 113 CPR) and BEL May 4 (131 CPR, show finisher next-out winner). This is the best field the improving sophomore colt has faced and he may be up to the task again under Castellano. #7 Thebigfundamental (5-2) set a controlled tempo and scampered away from local maidens at this course/distance April 28 (98 FIRE + 153 CPR). Pletcher’s late starting 4-year-old clearly has talent and looks like the one to catch under Johnny V and this race is over if he duplicates his last number. #1 Vincento (7-2) earned improved Pace Ratings (156, 126, 120) in his last three and reconnects with winning rider Ortiz Jr. A ground saving tactical trip is expected. #3 Nigel’s Destiny (4-1) dons the hood and enters in decent form (131 CPR April 8) but the 6-year-old gelding has been stuck at this level for quite some time. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-7, Exacta 2-7/1-3, 50 cent Pick 5: 2-7/7-9/3-4-5/3-6-7-8/5 ($24)

BEL 2 (Easy Goer, 8.5f) #9 OUTPLAY (3-1) is getting better all the time for Pletcher (102 FIRE + 153 CPR May 6). Today’s rider Johnny V was aboard for his April 8 romp at the Big A and he should be forwardly placed. #7 West Coast (5-2) fired Exacta shots in all four outings and earned his best number yet in an okay score as the heavy favorite vs. older two turn Optional Claiming foes at SA May 20 (92 FIRE + 134 CPR). He fired at SA bullet for this June 4 and Baffert is a profitable 33% with shippers. #8 You’re to Blame (4-1) is tough to gauge for Brown. He competed in the negative G2 Remsen last fall but his final numbers this year are better and he caught a wet track in the G2 Pat Day Mile May 6. #3 Wicked Macho (8-1) chose this over a local NY-bred allowance event on June 9. He wired a next out winner in his extended sprint wet track bow at CD May 6 and drilled a bullet for this June 1. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Quinella 7-9, Exacta 7-9/3-8, 50 cent Pick 4: 3-7-8-9/3-4-5/3-6-7-8/5 ($24)

BEL 3 (G2 Brooklyn, 12f) #3 SUNNY RIDGE (10-1) won a couple of stakes races on the inner dirt at AQU earlier this year on Jan 14 (152 Final) and March 12 (142 Final). He caught a wet track in the CT Classic (0-for-5 on wet dirt) but is 5-for-9 on fast dirt and looks like a solid tactical threat if he handles the marathon distance. He shows a couple of wins off similar short layoffs and drilled a training track bullet for this May 22. #5 Tu Brutus (2-1) has only lost once on dirt and that was a place finish in the G3 Excelsior in his needed US bow. He easily went all the way in the local Flat Out at 11f May 7 (179 Pace + 144 Final) and might not look back under Ortiz Jr. #4 Send it In (7-5) won three stakes races at the Big A including the aforementioned Excelsior. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/4-5, Exacta 4-5/3

BEL 4 (G1 Acorn, 8f) #8 SALTY (4-1) had a rough trip from post 14 in the Kentucky Oaks (5th by 4 lengths, 138 Final) and this distance looks just about right. She got a 144 Final in the G2 GP Oaks April 1 and ran well in both sprints. #7 Sweet Loretta (5-2) is 4-for-5 (unbeaten around one turn) and earned her best number in her winning 3-year-old bow in the G3 Beaumont April 9 (140 Final). #3 Abel Tasman (2-1) added blinkers and got plenty of pace help as my top in her 9-1 upset in the Kentucky Oaks (150 Final). This distance might be too sharp and she probably won’t get the same favorable setup today. #6 Tequilita (12-1) also exits the Ky Oaks (7th by 9+ lengths) and should appreciate getting back around one turn. Her sprint numbers were moving the right way each time (135 Final G2 Forward Gal Feb 4) and improvement stopped in her last two routes. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Quinella 7-8, Trifecta 3-7-8/3-7-8/6

BEL 5 (G1 Ogden Phipps, 8.5f) #5 SONGBIRD (1-2) looks like a complete standout (6-for-6 at 8.5f). She sports the best numbers and looks like the controlling speed. Her lone career setback in twelve outings was a nose defeat in the G1 BC Distaff last fall and this is her first start since. #2 Paid Up Subscriber (8-1) switches to Castellano (46% w/Brown) and might move forward on a fast track 3rd off the shelf. She rallied to finish an encouraging 3rd in the G1 Madison April 8 (final 1/4 in 23.9) before finishing a troubled 4th as the even money favorite in the G1 La Troienne on a sloppy track May 5. THE PLAYS: Exacta 5-2, Trifecta 5/ALL/2

BEL 6 (G3 Jaipur, 6T) #4 GREEN MASK (7-2) is a sharp tactical threat and he kicked his last two Final Ratings up a notch (150, 149). Castellano (5-for-6 w/Cox) got to know him in the G3 Turf Sprint at CD May 5. #2 Disco Partner (6-1) is sharp and almost caught stablemate #3 Pure Sensation (3-1) in this event last year. The former exits a sharp win in the Elusive Quality (150 Final) and the latter is 2-for-2 in local 6f stakes races on firm turf (146 Final, 144 Final). #10 Stormy Liberal (5-1) has been on a big roll on the downhill turf course at SA (4-for-4 in 2017) and his recent Final Ratings match up well in this spot. Can he run his typical sharp race on the road? #1 Loose On the Town (8-1) figures to hustle from the rail in a race without much early zip. He went all the way in his last two turf sprints but Castellano abandons for Green Mask. Leparoux takes over for Lynch (6-for-18 at BEL) and he received a 158 Pace Rating May 11. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Trifecta 2-3-4/1-2-3-4-10/1-2-3-4-10, $2 Pick 6: 2-3-4/8-10/1-2/2-5/1-4/2 ($96)

BEL 7 (G2 Woody Stephens, 7f) #10 LONG HAUL BAY (5-1) is 2-for-2 for Brown and earned an 87 FIRE + 140 CPR in the G3 Bay Shore. The Brown trainee has the most upside. #8 American Anthem (5-2) turned back and got back on the beam in the G3 Laz Barrera May 13 (100 FIRE + 136 CPR). He fired a SA bullet for this May 31 and Smith/Baffert are 4-for-4 together recently. #4 Gold for the King (15-1) is a sharp NY-bred facing much tougher but is 3-for-3 in fast track sprints (2 wins under Ortiz) and earned big numbers in his April 23 return (100 FIRE + 161 CPR). #11 Petrov (8-1) was on the Derby trail but ran out of steam as distances increased (lost ground in stretch all four routes). He appears best up to a mile and might bounce back at this shorter trip. #7 Wild Shot (4-1) jumped up and earned a 105 FIRE + 145 CPR in the G2 Pat Day Mile May 6 (CD wet fast) but his fast track numbers do not come close to that effort. Let’s see if he can run the same race on a fast track at a different venue while running a furlong shorter. #3 Recruiting Ready (6-1) is sharp and fast but 7f might be too far. THE PLAYS: #10 to win, Trifecta 8-10/4-8-10-11/3-4-7-8-10-11, $1 Grand Slam 8-10/1-2/2-5-8-9/4 ($16), $1 Grand Slam 8/1-2-7/5-9/1 ($6)

BEL 8 (G1 Just a Game, 8T) #1 DICKINSON (5-2) won her last three graded turf routes and is 2-for-2 at this trip. She flew home in the G1 Jenny Wiley (22.6) and might get the jump on #2 Roca Rojo (9-5). The latter is always in the mix for Brown and is 3-for-3 at BEL. She was much closer to the pace under Geroux in the G2 Distaff Turf Mile and it was nice to see aggressive handling that day. #7 Antonoe (8-1) rocketed across the line to complete her final 1/4 in 22.1 in her winning US bow at KEE April 14 (Alw-2x). She faces much tougher but might be up to the task and you get Castellano/Brown at a price. #5 Celestine (3-1) is 3-for-3 at BEL and 6-for-8 at 8f but got away with soft splits in both wire jobs this year. #6 Sassy Little Lila (8-1) figures to join Celestine up front and that scenario might set the table for the two favorites. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-2, Trifecta 1-2-7/1-2-5-6-7/1-2-7, 50 cent Pick 4: 1-2-7/2-5-8-9/1-4/2-4-7-12 ($48)

BEL 9 (G1 Met Mile, 8f) #2 RALLY CRY (5-1) likes this oval and earned two of his best numbers this year (146, 143). He was 3rd in the Easy Goer as a sophomore on the Belmont Stakes undercard last year and seems like an improved animal in 2017. An inner tactical trip is expected and there is not a ton of pace in the paper race. #5 Sharp Azteca (7-2) is 4-for-5 at this distance with his lone setback a show finish (beaten 1 length) in the Godolphin Mile at Meydan March 25. He earned 150+ Final Ratings in his last three US starts, runs well fresh, and figures in the hunt throughout. #9 Mor Spirit (5-2) is sharp and owns as ascending numbers pattern (150+ Final Ratings last two). He is 2-for-2 at 8f but this one turn configuration might give him trouble. #8 Tom’s Ready (15-1) performed well in a rallying show finish from post 13 off a layoff May 6 (143 Final). He is best as a late runner around one turn and won the G2 Woody Stephens on the Belmont Stakes undercard last year (144 Final). #12 Awesome Slew (6-1) was just in front of Tom’s Ready at CD last time and he is sharp, fits on numbers, and drilled a bullet for this June 2. #6 Mohaymen (20-1) is trying to get his career going again after losing five straight. He won his first five races, probably needed his last, and is training lights out for this. #10 Virtual Machine (30-1) has been outstanding since moving to the Cannizzo barn (146 Final May 6) and might spice up the exotics. #11 Tommy Macho (10-1) sports a couple of graded wins at this distance off a layoff and can compete with these on his best day for Pletcher. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2-5-9/8,  Trifecta 2-5/2-5-8-9/2-5-6-8-9-10-11-12

BEL 10 (G1 Manhattan, 10f inner turf) #4 TIME TEST (5-1) missed by a nose as the favorite in his US bow on yielding ground. He is 3-for-4 at this distance and his best overseas races were on good ground. #1 Beach Patrol (4-1) landed the place in his last four graded turf starts at 9f. His last win was the G1 Secretariat at 10f and he figures in the hunt throughout from the rail. #3 World Approval (3-1) won the G2 Dixie three weeks ago at PIM (105 FIRE + 164 CPR) but is 0-for-3 at BEL and 0-for-2 at 10f. #7 Divisidero (4-1) beat Beach Patrol in the G1 Turf Classic at CD May 6 (100 FIRE + 156 CPR) but he did the same thing in 2016 prior to shipping to BEL and finishing 5th in the Manhattan. He is 0-for-2 at 10f. #2 Wake Forest (8-1) is Brown’s third entrant and he is 4-for-8 at 10f. Castellano jumps over to Time Test.  THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta Box 1-4, Trifecta 1-4/1-2-3-4-7/1-2-3-4-7, 50 cent Pick 4: 1-4/2-4-7-12/1-2-3-11/5-6-10 ($48)

BEL 11 (G1 Belmont Stakes, 12f) – see analysis below

Belmont Stakes Field (in post position order, with comments)

#1 Twisted Tom (20-1) – Biggest strength is Castellano.

#2 Tapwrit (6-1) – Reminds me of Destin.

#3 Gormley (8-1) – Twelve furlongs seems too long.

#4 J Boys Echo (15-1) – Interesting exotics contender.

#5 Hollywood Handsome (30-1) – Improving but in too deep.

#6 Lookin At Lee (5-1) – Fourth race in eight weeks.

#7 Irish War Cry (7-2-1) – Probably wins or finishes up the track.

#8 Senior Investment (12-1) – Deep closers usually struggle in Belmont.

#9 Meantime (15-1) – Can a son of Shackleford get 12f?

#10 Multiplier (215-1) – Illinois Derby winner adds blinkers.

#11 Epicharis (4-1) – Belmont week foot problems a major concern.

#12 Patch (12-1) – One-eyed wonder draws outside again.

Belmont Stakes Pedigree Analysis

#12 PATCH’s sire Union Rags won the Belmont Stakes in 2012 and his dam sire A. P. Indy won the Belmont Stakes in 1992.

#2 TAPWRIT’s sire Tapit was once considered a prolific stallion up to nine furlongs, but sustained success at stud brought bigger and better mares his way. In 2014, his son Tonalist captured the Belmont Stakes. His son Frosted was 2nd to American Pharoah in 2015. He had Creator and Lani run 1-3 for him in 2016.

#11 EPICHARIS has a field-best Average Winning Distance of 7.9 furlongs for sire Gold Allure (Sunday Silence) and an AWD of 8.7 furlongs for dam sire Carnegie. The Japanese invader is certainly bred to get the trip.

#4 J BOYS ECHO should get stamina from his sire Mineshaft, a son of Belmont Stakes hero A. P. Indy.

Curlin was 2nd in the 2007 Belmont Stakes and sired 2013 Belmont Stakes hero Palace Malice. He is represented by morning line favorite #7 IRISH WAR CRY this year.

From the Tapit sire line, Hollywood Handsome is a son of Tapizar.

From the A. P. Indy sire line, Gormley is a son of Malibu Moon. Senior Investment is a son of Discreetly Mine (Mineshaft).

Speed Figures: BRIS + TRD

According to the BRIS numbers, #9 MEANTIME owns the best last race number (105) in the slop at BEL (Peter Pan).

#7 IRISH WAR CRY got a pair of 102‘s in the Wood Memorial and Holy Bull and a 100 in the Marylander. He is the only runner with multiple triple digit numbers and is the fastest overall runner.

#2 TAPWRIT got a 101 in the TB Derby and might be ready to circle back to that number.

#4 J BOYS ECHO got a 104 in the G3 Gotham on the inner dirt at AQU and might get closer to that number today.

#10 MULTIPLIER got a 104 in the Illinois Derby but his other numbers are quite a bit lower.

#3 GORMLEY got a 102 on a wet track in the Sham.

#12 PATCH got a 101 in his flat mile maiden win at GP on Feb 18. He has plenty of room to improve.

Looking at the TRD numbers, #7 IRISH WAR CRY got a 152 Final Rating in the Wood (104 FIRE) and a 153 Final in the Holy Bull. He is a likely winner if he runs his best race and stays the trip but that is not a certainty.

#6 LOOKIN AT LEE received a 152 Final Rating in the Kentucky Derby. His other numbers are much lower.

#1 TWISTED TOM earned a 147 Final in the Tesio on a sloppy track but his other numbers do not come close.

#2 TAPWRIT got a 146 Final in the TB Derby and a 140 in the Pulpit. That was part of a nice winter progression but he regressed in the Blue Grass + Ky Derby. He also earned a 146 Pace Rating in the TB Derby and a balanced attack like that would work well at a mile and a half.

#9 MEANTIME received a 146 in the Peter Pan and a 136 in his romping maiden win but both were wet track numbers. A mile and a half on a fast track is an eternity for a son of Shackleford.

#3 GORMLEY owns a trio of 140+ Final Ratings but his Pace Ratings are almost always better than his Final Ratings and his stamina is a concern.

#10 MULTIPLIER’s 143 Final Rating in the Illinois Derby seems too high based on his other numbers. He adds blinkers and returns in three weeks after finishing up the track in the Preakness (125 Final).

#8 SENIOR INVESTMENT garnered a 141 Final in the Lexington but that race collapsed and fell into his lap and his other numbers are lower like his 126 in the Preakness. Deep closers typically struggle in the Belmont Stakes.

#5 HOLLYWOOD HANDSOME uncorked a 140 Final in an entry level allowance win at CD May 14. Class is a big cloud.

#12 PATCH is lightly raced with an interesting numbers pattern. In his first three starts, he got a 111, 135, and a 137 Final in the LA Derby. From post 20 in the Kentucky Derby, he got a 98 Final Rating. He is bred for the marathon distance and is an intriguing contender if he improves off his LA Derby number.

Pace Makes the Race

A few of these figure to be forwardly placed starting with #9 MEANTIME, followed by #3 GORMLEY, #7 IRISH WAR CRY, and #11 EPICHARIS. #1 TWISTED TOM can stalk from the rail, and #2 TAPWRIT might be in the perfect spot behind that group.

KEY TRENDS:

Beat the Preakness Runners

Going back to 1979 (38 runnings), Preakness winners have only managed to win the Belmont Stakes six times (‘15 American Pharoah, ’05 Afleet Alex, – ’01 Point Given ,’94 Tabasco Cat, ’91 Hansel, ’88 Risen Star).

Horses exiting the Preakness Stakes have captured just 2 of the last 15 renewals of the Belmont Stakes and Triple Crown hero American Pharoah did it in 2015. Before that, it was Afleet Alex in 2005, and Hall of Fame jockey Jerry Bailey was still riding at that time.

2015 was a bit of an aberration because American Pharaoah was a special colt. Overall, these are very telling stats considering that horses exiting the Kentucky Derby dominate the Preakness. Since 2000, horses exiting the Derby have captured the Preakness 14 times. Exceptions: Cloud Computing, Rachel Alexandra, Bernardini, Red Bullet.

Based on recent Triple Crown series trends, a Belmont Stakes victory by a horse exiting the Preakness seems unlikely, and that is not good news for #6 LOOKIN AT LEE, #8 SENIOR INVESTMENT, and #10 MULTIPLIER.

If a Preakness runner is going to be competitive, recent history says it is most likely the winner of that race, but CLOUD COMPUTING skipped the Belmont this year.

Derby-Belmont

The current hot trend is competing in the Kentucky Derby, skipping the Preakness, and winning the Belmont Stakes (since 2000): ’16 Creator, ‘13 Palace Malice, ‘12 Union Rags, ’09 Summer Bird, ’06 Jazil, ’04 Birdstone, ’03 Empire Maker, ’00 Commendable.

This year’s Derby-Belmont runners are #2 TAPWRIT, #3 GORMLEY, #4 J BOYS ECHO, #7 IRISH WAR CRY, and #12 PATCH. The 2017 Belmont Stakes winner could easily come from that group.

Derby-Peter Pan

The Peter Pan-Belmont Stakes double was trending again in 2014 after 1-2 Peter Pan finishers Tonalist and Commissioner repeated their Exacta feat in the Test of  Champions.

#9 MEANTIME finished 2nd in the Peter Pan this year and is the lone representative from that event.

Prior to 2014, the last horse to win the Peter Pan-Belmont was A.P. Indy in 1992. Since the race was revived in 1975, the only four winners to also take the Belmont were Coastal in 1979, Danzig Connection in 1986, the aforementioned A. P. Indy in ’92, and Tonalist.

’99 Lemon Drop Kid (3rd in Peter Pan) and ’93 Colonial Affair (2nd in Peter Pan) parlayed underneath finishes in the Peter Pan with wins in the Belmont Stakes.

Let’s recap! In the last 18 years, 8 horses ran in the Derby, skipped the Preakness, and won the Belmont. During that same timeframe, only three Preakness winners also won the Belmont (Point Given, Afleet Alex, American Pharoah).

Home Sweet Home

Past experience at Belmont Park for horses can be an important handicapping factor.

The aforementioned Peter Pan has been a key local prep in the past (most recently Tonalist in 2014), and Champagne Stakes winners Birdstone (2003) and Union Rags (2012) also captured the Belmont Stakes.

2013 Belmont Stakes hero Palace Malice was 2nd in a maiden race at Belmont Park as a juvenile. Drosselmeyer was 2nd in a maiden race and 2nd in the Dwyer Stakes at Big Sandy prior to his Belmont victory in 2010. Da’ Tara (2008) was 2nd in a maiden race at Belmont as a juvenile.

Every Triple Crown winner prior to American Pharoah (2015) had competed at Big Sandy prior to completing the sweep.

#9 MEANTIME is the only horse with experience at Belmont Park (Peter Pan runner-up).

Trainers

Trainers with past winners in the Belmont Stakes are Todd Pletcher (2 wins), Steve Asmussen (1 win), and Ken McPeek (1 win).

In 2017, Pletcher has #2 TAPWRIT and #12 PATCH. Asmussen saddles #6 LOOKIN AT LEE and McPeek is represented by #8 SENIOR INVESTMENT.

7 of the last 11 runnings were taken by trainers based in New York.

Jockeys

Last year’s winning rider Irad Ortiz Jr. once again teams up with Steve Asmussen (#6 LOOKIN AT LEE).Victor Espinoza won aboard American Pharoah in 2015 and he rides GORMLEY this year.  Joel Rosario was the winning rider aboard Tonalist in 2014 and he pilots #10 MULTIPLIER this year.

Other riders with Belmont Stakes wins:

Mike Smith (2 wins): #9 MEANTIME

John Velazquez (2 wins): #12 PATCH

To sum up, it is a plus if Belmont Stakes connections are based in New York and the horse competed at Belmont Park. Also, give brownie points to past success in the Test of Champions. It is only a matter of time before top jockey Javier Castellano boots home a Belmont Stakes winner. He rode Stay Thirsty (2011), Commissioner (2014), and Destin (2016) to close runner-up finishes for trainer Todd Pletcher and he pilots #1 TWISTED TOM for Chad Brown this year. They teamed up to win Preakness 2017 with Cloud Computing.

Belmont Stakes Top 4 Picks:
1 – TAPWRIT (#2)
2 – Patch (#12)
3 – Irish War Cry (#7)
4 – J Boys Echo (#4)

BELMONT STAKES 2017 WAGERS

WIN ($50)

$30 to win #2 TAPWRIT

$20 to win #12 PATCH

EXACTA ($40)

$5 Exacta 2/4-7-12 ($15)

$3 Exacta 4-7-12/2 ($9)

$2 Exacta 2-12/4-7 ($8)

$2 Exacta 4-7/2-12 ($8)

TRIFECTA ($30)

50 cent Trifecta 2-12/ALL/2-4-7-12 ($30)

SUPERFECTA ($20)

10 cent Super 2/4-7-12/4-7-12/ALL ($5.40)

10 cent Super 2/4-7-12/ALL/4-7-12 ($5.40)

10 cent Super 2/ALL/4-7-12/4-7-12 ($5.40)

10 cent Super 2-3-7-11-12/2-3-7-12/2-12/4 ($1.80)

10 cent Superfecta 1-2-3-4-7-9-11-12/2-12/4-7/2-12 ($2.00)

BEL 12 (OC-62.5k, 9f inner turf) #11 HELLO DON JULIO (6-1) ran well off the bench May 17 (188 Pace + 155 Final). He owns running style versatility and Ortiz rode him to a place finish in a local 11f turf race last June. #3 Revved Up (4-1) ran well in both turf starts this year and might be ready to move forward 3rd off the shelf. The Brown coupling (#1 Ray’s the Bar, #1a Shalako) and the McLaughlin entry (#2 Mutazen, #2b Arghad) merit consideration. Ray’s the Bar should be finishing under Castellano and Arghad reconnects with winning rider Saez. THE PLAYS: #11 to win, Exacta Box 3-11, Exacta 3-11/1-2

BEL 13 (OC-62.5k, 7f) #5 RIVER ECHO (8-1) ran better than expected on a wet track at CD May 5 (126 Final) and his two fast track starts at SA before that were stellar (138 Final both). #10 Realm (3-1) faced graded foes in his last four and hit the board in three of those. Castellano hops aboard and he might be classier than these (144 Final March 4). #6 Do Share (6-1) is Linda Rice’s only starter on the card and the consistent gelding has fired Trifecta shots in eight straight (135 Final at BEL May 12). THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta 5/6-10, Exacta 6-10/5

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (2-7-1-3)
2   (9-7-8-3)
3   (3-5-4)
4   (8-7-3-6)
5   (5-2)
6   (4-2-3-10-1)
7   (10-8-4-11-7-3)
8   (1-2-7-5-6)
9   (2-5-9-8-12-6-10-11)
10 (4-1-3-7-2)
11 (2-12-7-4)
12 (11-3-1-2)
13 (5-10-6)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (2-9)
Ticket 2 (2/3-7-8-9)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-7/9)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (9-3)
Ticket 1 (9/3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (3-7-8-9/3)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (2-9-3)
Ticket 2 (2/3-7-8-9/3-4-5)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-7/9/3-4-5)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-7/3-7-8-9/3)

Santa Anita Full Card Recap for June 10

Santa Anita Park full card analysis for Saturday (6-10-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
Weather: Partly Cloudy. High 74. SA Best Bets (races 6, 8, 10)
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 2 GATO DEL ORO ($7.60), Exacta ($6.60)
Double (Races 1-2, $22.80)
Double (Races 2-3, $27.40)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $39.60)
SA 4 AUNTJENN ($6.60), Exacta ($9.70)
Double (Races 3-4, $21.60)
Pick 3 (Races 2-4, $53.00)
Double (Races 4-5, $26.80)
Pick 3 (Races 3-5, $32.20)
Pick 3 (Races 4-6, $117.70)
SA 8 SHARP SAMURAI (SA Best Bet #2, $12.80), Exacta ($12.80)
Double (Races 7-8, $101.80)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $513.10)
SA 9 St. Reno/Moments Notiz Exacta ($13.10)
Double (Races 8-9, $53.00)
Pick 3 (Races 7-9, $201.40)
Pick 3 (Races 8-10, $208.30)

SA 1 – MSW, 8T
Primary – #2 OH SCATTY OH, #6 Midnight Lilly
Secondary – #5 Lyrics, #8 Fast Bid, #1 Aussie Rock Star
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-6, Superfecta 2-6/2-5-6/ALL/1-2-5-6-8

SA 2 – MSW, 7f
Primary – #3 GATO DEL ORO, #6 Omega Moon
Secondary – #1 Gold Shot, #5 Ready Aim
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta 1-3-5/6, Trifecta 3-5-6/3-5-6/1

SA 3 – Clm-32k, 6.5T
Primary – #2 BANZE NO OESTE, #6 Chips All In
Secondary – #5 Two Six Wins, #1 Zuri Chop, #3 Success Rate, #9 Daddy D T
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-6, Superfecta 2-6/1-2-3-5-6-9/1-2-3-5-6-9/1-2-3-5-6-9

SA 4 – OC-40k, 6.5f
Primary – #2 AUNTJENN
Secondary – #6 Stealth Drone, #1 Mining Diamonds, #7 Obey
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta 2/1-6-7, Exacta 1-6-7/2

SA 5 – MSW, 5f
Primary – #7 JUNGLE WARFARE, #3 Serengeti
Secondary – #9 Runaway Ghost, #1 Gran Fiesta, #4 Bold Determination, #8 Armour Plate
Wagers: #7 to win, Superfecta 3-7/3-7-9/1-3-4-7-8-9/1-3-4-7-8-9

SA 6 – Clm-20k, 8T
Primary – #5 MALKO
Secondary – #6 Indygo Bo, #9 Mission Driven, #8 Big Bane Theory
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta 5/6-8-9, Exacta 6-8-9/5

SA 7 – Mcl-75k, 8f
Primary – #7 TRAPPE THE MOMENT, #4 Conqueror
Secondary – #5 Rafter One, #1 Harrovian, #9 Rings of Jupiter #2 Waldorf
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta Box 4-7, Superfecta 4-7/1-2-4-5-7-9/1-2-4-5-7-9/1-2-4-5-7-9

SA 8 – Rainbow, 9T
Primary – #9 SHARP SAMURAI, #10 Bird is the Word
Secondary – #2 Conquest Farenheit, #5 Fashion Business
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta 5-9-10/2, Trifecta 2-9-10/2-9-10/5

SA 9 – Clm-6250k, 6f
Primary – #2 MOMENTS NOTIZ
Secondary – #1 St. Reno, #3 Ankeny Hill
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta 2/1-3, Exacta 1-3/2

SA 10 – OC-40k, 9T
Primary – #1 LOOKING AT THELAKE
Secondary – #2 Starlight Style, #10 Lady Tapit, #3 Double Espresso
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta 1/2-3-10, Exacta 2-3-10/1

SA 11 – Mcl-50k, 5.5f
Primary – #12 PATH OF EXILE, #4 Fly to Mars
Secondary – #10 Lucky With You, #2 Hedoesitinstyle
Wagers: #12 to win, Exacta 12/2-4-10, Exacta 2-4-10/12

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (2-6-5-8-1)
2   (3-6-1-5)
3   (2-6-5-1-3-9)
4   (2-6-1-7)
5   (7-3-9-1-4-8)
6   (5-6-9-8)
7   (7-4-5-1-9-2)
8   (9-10-2-5)
9   (2-1-3)
10 (1-2-10-3)
11 (12-4-10-2)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (2-3)
Ticket 2 (2/1-3-5-6)
Ticket 3 (1-2-5-6-8/3)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (3-2)
Ticket 1 (3/1-2-3-5-6-9)
Ticket 3 (1-3-5-6/2)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (2-3-2)
Ticket 2 (2/1-3-5-6/1-2-3-5-6-9)
Ticket 3 (1-2-5-6-8/3/1-2-3-5-6-9)
Ticket 4 (1-2-5-6-8/1-3-5-6/2)

BEL + SA Full Card Recap for June 8-9

Belmont Park picks for Thursday (6-8-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
NY Weather: Partly Cloudy. High 71. BEL Best Bets (races 3, 8, 9)
BEL Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

HIGHLIGHTS:
June 8
BEL 7 Coal Front/Patternrecognition Exacta ($10.40), Trifecta ($28.60)
BEL 8 MISSISSIPPI DELTA (Best Bet #2, $15.20)
Double (Races 7-8, $34.40)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $321.50)
Grand Slam, Races 5-8, $105.00)

June 9
SA 1 MR. HINX ($6.40), Exacta ($10.10)
Double (Races 1-2, $18.40)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $27.60)
SA 5 Tribal Jewel/Madiba Exacta (Best Bet #1, $12.00)
BEL 10 Red Cardinal/St Michel Exacta (Best Bet, $46.00), Trifecta ($354.00)
BEL 11 BY THE MOON (BEL Best Bet #2, $4.50)

BEL 1 – MSW, 6.5f
Primary – #6 TRANSACTION TAX, #1 Taping Colors
Secondary – #9 Privy Council, #3 Sweet Avery, #8 Schema
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta Box 1-6, Trifecta 1-6/1-3-6-8-9/1-3-6-8-9

BEL 2 – Alw-1x, 8f
Primary – #8 DYNAMAX PRIME, #4 Giant Expectations
Secondary – #7 Wicked Macho, #6 Built to Suit, #9 Two Down One to Go
Wagers: #8 to win, Quinella 8/4-6-7, Trifecta 4-7-8/4-6-7-8-9/4-7-8

BEL 3 – G3 Wonder Again, 9f inner turf
Primary – #1 COASTED, #7 New Money Honey
Secondary – #3 Enchanting Kitten
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta 1/3-7, Exacta 3-7/1

Best Bet Analysis: #1 COASTED (5-1) owns running style versatility and lands the rail in a race without any pace. The fresh filly reconnects with winning rider Lezcano (booted her home twice last year) and should offer value. #7 New Money Honey (8-5) beat Coasted twice last year including a 1/2 length decision in the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf. She disappointed in her G3 Appalachian return but could bounce back following a local turf bullet for the productive Castellano/Brown team. She won the G3 Miss Grillo on the inner turf at Belmont last fall. #3 Enchanting Kitten (10-1) ran well in both starts for Brown and will try to get involved in the stretch under Ortiz Jr.

BEL 4 – MSW, 8T
Primary – #1 CONSPIRING, #4 Kahrumana
Secondary – #3 Bogulator, #13 Resonate, #14 Durable Goods, #9 Equalityforall
Wagers: #1 to win, Quinella 4/1-3, Trifecta 1-4/1-3-4-13/1-3-4-9-13-14

BEL 5 – Astoria, 5.5f
Primary – #7 BEST PERFORMANCE, #1 One Last Cast
Secondary – #8 Di Maria, #3 Sugar Queen, #2 I Still Miss You
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta Box 1-7, Trifecta 1-7/1-2-3-7-8/1-2-3-7-8
$1 Grand Slam 1-7/7-10-14/5-8/5 ($12)
$1 Grand Slam 1-7-8/7-10/8/9 ($6)
$1 Grand Slam 7/10/5/1-4-7-8 ($4)

BEL 6 – OC-25k, 11T
Primary – #10 FLYING BULLET, #14 St. Louie
Secondary – #7 Richmond Street,  #11 War Bond, #6 Birchwood Road, #9 Sunset District
Wagers: #10 to win, Exacta 10-14/7, Trifecta 10-14/7-10-11-14/6-7-9-10-11-14

BEL 7 – Alw-1x, 6f
Primary – #5 PATTERNRECOGNITION, #8 Coal Front
Secondary – #7 Blessed Halo, #4 So Noted, #11 Divine Interventio
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta Box 5-8, Trifecta 5-8/4-5-7-8-11/4-5-7-8-11

BEL 8 – G3 Intercontinental, 7T
Primary – #5 MISSISSIPPI DELTA, #9 Take These Chains
Secondary – #8 Portmagee, #4 Fair Point, #1 Lady Valeur, #7 Conquest Babayaga
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta Box 5-9, Trifecta 5-9/4-5-8-9/1-4-5-7-8-9

Best Bet Analysis: #5 MISSISSIPPI DELTA finished a troubled 6th in this race last year and had poor spacing (11 days). This year, her spacing is much better (33 days) and she should offer a hint of value. #9 Take These Chains is a perfect 3-for-3 and is an obvious threat for Castellano/Brown.

BEL 9 – MSW, 6f inner turf
Primary – #8 TOP HAT CITY
Secondary – #1 Speightful Kitten, #7 Summer Mischief, #11 Uncle Tbone, #5 Uncle Chester, #6 Charge Latouche
Wagers: #8 to win, Superfecta Key 8/1-5-6-7-11

Best Bet Analysis: #8 TOP HAT CITY lost by a nose and a head in his two turf sprint tries at LRL. The NY-bred gelding (City Zip 15% turf sire) faces state breds for the first time and Castellano ends up here. Dam has tossed four turf winners.

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (6-1-9-3-8)
2   (8-4-7-6-9)
3   (1-7-3)
4   (1-4-3-13-14-9)
5   (7-1-8-3-2)
6   (10-14-7-11-6-9)
7   (5-8-7-4-11)
8   (5-9-8-4-1-7)
9   (8-1-7-11-5-6)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (6-8)
Ticket 2 (6/4-6-7-8-9)
Ticket 3 (1-3-6-8-9/8)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (8-1)
Ticket 1 (8/1-3-7)
Ticket 3 (4-6-7-8-9/1)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (6-8-1)
Ticket 2 (6/4-6-7-8-9/1-3-7)
Ticket 3 (1-3-6-8-9/8/1-3-7)
Ticket 4 (1-3-6-8-9/4-6-7-8-9/1)

Santa Anita Park full card + BEL 6-11 for Friday (6-9-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com)
Weather: Sunny. High 82. SA Best Bets (races 5, 7, 9)
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file

SA 1 (OC-75k, 6.5T) #5 MR. HINX (7-2) is 3-for-3 sprinting and 0-for-3 routing. He won his lone downhill try Feb 16 (135 CPR) and looks like the one to beat in the paper race. #4 Ritzy A. P. (3-1) was bumped around early and ended up 6th of 10 in the G2 American Turf at CD May 6 (135 CPR). He stalked the front runner and graduated in a local one mile turf race Feb 11 and missed by a nose in his downhill debut Jan 16. #7 Who Cares (8-1) drew well and hit the board in his last two downhill starts vs. CA-breds (125, 128 CPR). I like the rider switch to Bejarano. #6 Vending Machine (7-2) faced stakes foes in his last five and won the Eddie Logan Dec 30 (131 CPR). He is in for the $75k tag today and Miller shows a +ROI route/sprint. He earned a 137 CPR and 140 Final Rating in the Singletary May 6 but his other numbers are lower. #1 Exotic Ghost (6-1) has earned better TRD numbers each time out including a 128 CPR in a CA-bred downhill win May 4. He’s a threat with another forward move. #2 What’sontheagenda (6-1) set the pace and faded to a distant 3rd in the Desert Code at this course/distance May 13. He went too fast early that day (162 Pace) and might not look back if he gets a clear lead through more reasonable splits. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta 5/4-7, Exacta 4-7/5, Trifecta 4-5/6-7/1-2

SA 2 (Mcl-50k, 5.5f) #1 UNLUCKY HILLARY (6-1) debuts for crafty, low profile trainer Ruis, who struck with a pair of debut longshots May 6 (The Critical Way, Summer Buddha) under today’s rider Solis. #3 Tiki Bar Logic (7-2) is tagged for the first time and should show speed under Pereira. #2 Norweigian Spy (4-1) is another special weight dropper with speed and she switches surfaces. #6 Colonel Peggy Sue (6-1) is a returning second timer and Sherman is 5-for-28 with this type of layoff runner. #4 Secret Shopper (5-2) drops and lands a better post after a pair of wide runs vs. local straight maidens. She earned a 105 CPR in her bow but that was on a wet track. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-3, Superfecta 1-3/1-2-3-4-6/1-2-3-4-6/1-2-3-4-6

SA 3 (MSW, 5f) #6 TYFOSHA (9-5) outworked highly regarded stablemate Saudi Chroma May 19 and that one was an impressive debut winner May 25. O’Neill’s $410k purchase looked good working again June 3 and sure looks like a runner. #5 Surrender Now (3-1) fired a gate bullet for this June 2 and Miller is 29% with 2-year-olds. They paid $220k for her. #7 Mondaymorningblues (4-1) had an uncomfortable trip as the beaten favorite May 18 and Baze hops aboard for Miller. #1 Nothins Free (8-1) draws the rail and gets in light with Roman. Sadler shows a +ROI with juveniles and freshman stallion Flat Out sired his first winner at KEE April 13 (Bonneville Flats). THE PLAYS: Exacta 6/1-7, Trifecta Key 6/1-5-7

SA 4 (Mcl-50k, 8T) #6 HI HEAT BOY (7-2) stretched out and was not embarrassed in 4th place finish vs. CA-bred MSW foes at this course/distance May 19. D’Amato is 24% with this type of dropper and Solis is 2-for-4 with this barn. #3 Fall Harvest (6-1) earned a competitive number finishing 7th of 10 in his downhill debut May 4 and Gaines shows a +ROI sprint/route. #5 Warren’s Fandango (9-2) hooked two next out winners April 22 including subsequent Snow Chief hero Marckie’s Water. #8 Unnamed Source (6-1) flashed speed and faded in his downhill debut May 13. Blacker is 2-for-8 sprint/route and he is probably the one to catch. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/3-5-8, Exacta 3-5-8/6

SA 5 (Clm-50k, 8f) #3 MADIBA (5-2) could not handle the optional claiming class hike and ran last all the way around May 21. He gets in light with Roman and earned a good number (141 Final) in a course/distance score vs. $50k claimers April 16 (second start as gelding). #2 Tribal Jewel (3-1) is fresh, training well, and the consistent gelding is usually in the hunt throughout at SA. #1 Infobedad (9-2) was overmatched from a class/distance standpoint in the G3 Toyko City Cup at 12f April 2. He earned a 134 Final Rating in a local stalk/pounce win at 10f March 11 but this distance might be a tad sharp. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/1-2, Exacta 1-2/3

SA 6 (Clm-12.5k, 6f) #5 LAMBO LUXX (12-1) tracked and weakened in a $10k race he may have needed May 5. Roman sticks and I like the class hike off a loss. All three of his wins were at SA including two at this trip. #8 Juansagain (9-5) went all the way as the heavy favorite in a local $10k extended sprint May 5 and Miller excels first after the claim. The pace factor is 2-for-3 at this distance. #2 Royal F J (5-1) is a gritty 10-year-old gelding with 97 starts. A ground saving stalking trip is expected. #4 Madelyn’s Wild Max (6-1) was edged for 3rd in a $10k affair May 18. He beat similar $12.5k foes at SA May 4 and gets pace to chase in the paper race. #9 Arlington House (6-1) went 3-for-5 last year and scored off a 14+ month layoff last July. THE PLAYS:5 to win, Superfecta 5-8/2-5-8/ALL/2-4-5-8-9

SA 7 (OC-40k, 6.5T) #10 TAIMA THE HAWK (4-1) finished in the Top 3 in his last four downhill tries and might have a tactical edge from the outside post. He earned an okay 125 Final Rating May 12 and might be ready for a new top. #5 Doc Curlin (3-1) ran well in his last two downhill starts (132 Final Rating both) under Gutierrez and Baltas has him now. #1 Aotearoa (5-2) was the beaten favorite off the D’Amato claim May 11 (122 Final). Baze wins races with this barn and he can beat these on his best day. #3 David’s Memory (7-2) reconnects with winning rider Bejarano and he owns a couple of downhill wins (134 Final March 24). #7 Skeleton Pass (6-1) was a prominent throughout 2nd in a $25k downhill sprint May 14 (137 Final). THE PLAYS: #10 to win, Exacta Box 5-10, Trifecta 1-5-10/1-3-5-7-10/1-5-10

SA 8 (Hcp-10k, 8.5f) #7 AIN’T MISBEHAVIN (3-1) packs a decent stretch kick when he gets pace help and both of his wins this year were at this course/distance (132 Final March 26). #4 I’ll Wrap It Up (2-1) fired Trifecta shots in all five starts this year and exits a nice $32k claiming score (119 Pace + 141 Final). He might repeat if the pace is tepid again. #5 City Steel (5-2) is a consistent 7-year-old gelding with early-pressing versatility. He likes this course and distance. #1 Out of Patience (8-1) runs well in fast track routes and should save all the ground under Arroyo. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 1-4-7/5, Trifecta 4-5-7/4-5-7/1

SA 9 (MSW, 6.5T) #6 MOR CANDY (3-1) dueled and was edged for 2nd late vs. similar hillside foes May 13 (125 Final). TRD clocker liked his June 3 move and he could easily score with another forward move (D’Amato 31% second grass race) #3 Insubordination (7-2) finished a neck in front of Mor Candy last time but that was his fourth start. #4 Gosofar (4-1) landed the place in his last two downhill starts under Stevens. #8 Highlight Show (6-1) is a first time gelding and he earned a 119 Final Rating in a local flat mile turf race March 18. #1 Plate Side (7-2) is a first timer for O’Niell (0-for-20 debut turf). He has multiple Los Al bullets in his holster and dam has tossed three turf winners. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/1-8, Exacta 1-8/6, Trifecta Key 6/1-3-4-8

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (5-4-7-6-1-2)
2   (1-3-2-6-4)
3   (6-5-7-1)
4   (6-3-5-8)
5   (3-2-1)
6   (5-8-2-4-9)
7   (10-5-1-3-7)
8   (7-4-5-1)
9   (6-3-4-8-1)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (5-1)
Ticket 2 (5/1-2-3-4-6)
Ticket 3 (1-2-4-5-6-7/1)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (1-6)
Ticket 1 (1/1-5-6-7)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-4-6/6)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (5-1-6)
Ticket 2 (5/1-2-3-4-6/1-5-6-7)
Ticket 3 (1-2-4-5-6-7/1/1-5-6-7)
Ticket 4 (1-2-4-5-6-7/1-2-3-4-6/6)

BONUS RACES: BELMONT PARK 6-11

BEL Best Bets (Races 10-11)

BEL 6 – MSW, 11f inner turf
Primary – #9 MARKITOFF, #11 Eradicator
Secondary – #2 Roickitry, #10 Into the Breach, #6 Im the Captain Now
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta 9-10-11/2, Superfecta 9-11/2-9-11/ALL/2-6-9-10-11
$2 Pick 6: 2-9-11/1-3/4-8/1-2/13/9 ($48)

BEL 7 – OC-80k, 8T
Primary – #1 DADDY’S HOME, #3 Bricks and Mortar
Secondary – #12 J. S. Choice, #8 Snap Decision, #4 Tiz the One
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-3, Trifecta 1-3/1-3-4-8-12/1-3-4-8-12
$1 Grand Slam:  1-3/4-8/1-2-6-8/13 ($16)
$1 Grand Slam:  1-3-8/8/6-8/10 ($6)
$1 Grand Slam:  8/4/2/3-4-5-11-12 ($5)

BEL 8 – G2 True North, 6f
Primary – #4 STALLWALKIN’ DUDE, #8 Whitmore
Secondary – #5 Fellowship, #7 Roy H, #3 Noholdingback Bear
Wagers: #4 to win, Trifecta 4-8/3-4-5-7-8/3-4-5-7-8
50 cent Late Pick 4: 4-8/1-2-6-8/13/2-3-4-5-9 ($20)
50 cent Late Pick 4: 3-4-5-7-8/1-2/3-4-5-10-11-12-13/9 ($35)

BEL 9 – G2 New York, 10f inner turf
Primary – #1 QUIDURA, #2 Suffused
Secondary – #8 Dacita, #6 Sea Calisi
Wagers: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-2, Trifecta 1-2/1-2-6-8/1-2-6-8

BEL 10 – G3 Belmont Gold Cup, 2 Miles Turf
Primary – #13 ST MICHEL, #10 Red Cardinal
Secondary –  #12 Wicklow Brave, #3 Now We Can, #4 Wall of Fire, #11 Taghleeb, #5 Clondaw Warrior
Wagers: #13 to win, Exacta Box 10-13, Trifecta 10-13/3-10-12-13/3-4-5-10-11-12-13

Best Bet Analysis: St Michel prepared for this in a 14f all-weather event off a 6+ month layoff May 10. He was 17th in his final start of 2016 but that was a 33-horse field. He won all three of his turf races at this distance on turf last year and Irad Ortiz Jr. is one of the top turf riders in the US.

BEL 11 – G3 Bed O’ Roses, 7f
Primary – #9 BY THE MOON
Secondary – #4 Quezon, #2 High Ridge Road, #5 Lightstream, #3 Indulgent
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta 9/3-4, Exacta 3-4/9, Trifecta Key 9/2-3-4-5

Best Bet Analysis: By the Moon won this race last year and got back in the winner’s circle for the first time since in a sharp wet track win in the G3 Vagrancy at BEL May 5. She is a neck shy of a perfect 4-for-4 local record (lost G1 Acorn to Curalina in 2015).

Santa Anita Park Recap for June 4

Santa Anita Park full card + WO 7-10 for Sunday (6-4-17)
By Jarrod Horak (therunawayhorse.com, todaysracingdigest.com, winninghorsepicks.com
Weather: Sunny. High 88. SA Best Bets (Race 8) 
SA Pick 5, Early Pick 4, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file 

HIGHLIGHTS:
SA 2 QUEEN LAILA ($2.60)
Double (Races 1-2, $7.20)
Double (Races 2-3, $7.80)
Pick 3 (Races 1-3, $9.10)
SA 8 SEPTEMBER STARS (Best Bet, $3.20), Trifecta ($13.00)
Double (Races 7-8, $10.40)
Pick 3 (Races 6-8, $30.30)
Double (Races 8-9, $5.40)
Pick 3 (Races 7-9, $8.10)
PICK 6 (5 out of 6, $17.20)

SA 1 (Clm-12.5k, 8f) Not much between the two favorites with post position/likely trips leading me to pick #1 WOODSTOCK MEMORY (9-5). My top finally graduated in his 14th lifetime start April 7 (102 Pace + 108 Final) and gained the place in his first start vs. similar local winners three weeks later (96 Pace + 96 Final). A ground saving stalking trip is expected. #7 Monterey Shale (2-1) moved to the Stute barn via claim and was 2nd in a local route April 30 (117 Pace + 113 Final) and graduated in an extended sprint May 14 (116 Pace + 111 Final). Barn shows a +ROI turf/dirt (even 4th 8T May 25) and he projects an outside stalking trip under Bejarano. #5 Carulli (7-2) finished 1.25 lengths behind my top at 8.5f last time and he has a shot if able to shake loose early. He graduated at this course/distance in 2016. THE PLAYS: Exacta 1-7/5, Trifecta Key 1/5-7    

SA 2 (OC-75k, 6f) #4 QUEEN LAILA (6-5) followed up a promising debut win as the 3-2 favorite April 8 (runner-up next out winner) with an okay 4th vs. some decent fillies in the 7f Angels Flight (90 FIRE + 118 CPR). She adds blinkers and reconnects with winning rider Bejarano. #2 Mischievous Champ (4-1) has only run on fast dirt once and that was her local maiden win Feb 19 (81 FIRE + 112 CPR). Stevens hops aboard and she fired a training track bullet for this May 31. THE PLAYS: Exacta 4-2  

SA 3 (Mcl-50k, 5f) #2 CANNONBALL COMIN (6-1) shows a steady string of GG works for Moger (+ROI w/FTS) and Bejarano is 2-for-9 with this outfit at SA. #8 Quoting Hawk (4-1) sports some decent drills for recently hot trainer Machowsky (4 for last 15). #5 Ministertomyheart (5-2) debuts for quality trainer Miyadi. His works are slow but that is nothing new for this outfit. #7 Big Boy Coming (2-1) debuts for Miller (6 for last 15) and he is 10-for-40 with maiden claiming first timers. #1 The Public Halo (6-1) worked a couple of times from the gate at SA in May and Maldonado/Bonde show a +ROI together. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Superfecta 2-8/1-2-5-7-8/1-2-5-7-8/1-2-5-7-8   

SA 4 (Clm-40k, 6.5T) #3 EICHEL (9-5) was a willing 3rd in a CA-bred entry level affair down the hill May 19 (82 FIRE + 122 CPR). He earned quality Pace/Final Ratings in his last two downhill starts and figures in the hunt throughout. #1 Slasher (4-1) earned okay numbers (108 Pace + Final) from the inside post in an extended sprint on the main track April 29 (blinkers off). #2 Sahara Storm (2-1) drops and turns back for Keith D and his recent turf route numbers match up well. He finished a non-threatening 5th of 8 off a long layoff in his only downhill try March 16. THE PLAYS: Exacta 3-1, Trifecta Key 3/1-2    

SA 5 (Clm-25k, 6.5f) #5 WHERE Y’AT JOE JOE (3-1) puts the hood back on and remains above his $16k claimed price. He can move up 3rd off the shelf and Frey got to know him in a show finish May 18 (84 FIRE + 130 CPR). #1 Cherubim (2-1) makes his first start in 6+ months (runs well fresh) and Pereira is 6-for-15 with D’Amato. He likes this oval (7-2-3-0) and earned competitive numbers at DMR last September (87 FIRE + 128 CPR). THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta Box 1-5
    
SA 6 (MSW, 8T) #5 EASY SONG (5-2) adds blinkers and should be in front early but she gave up the ghost in all three turf outings. Her best effort was a show finish (beaten 1.5 lengths) under today’s rider Smith in her final start of 2016. She sports three training track bullets for this and should be fitter 3rd off the shelf. #6 My Aunt Tillie (3-1) added blinkers and played bridesmaid in her last two flat mile starts vs. this kind and beat some of these April 29 (137 Pace + 107 Final). #1 Moonshine Annie (4-1) stretched out and was up for 3rd in the same race My Aunt Tillie exits. She adds blinkers and Stevens as Talamo opts for #2 Christiana’s Song (4-1). The latter broke slow and was up for 4th in her dirt sprint debut April 30 (96 Final). Ellis used to be dangerous with surface switches but not lately (0-for-11 dirt/turf). THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta 1-2-5/6    

SA 7 (Santa Lucia, 8.5f) #5 STREET SURRENDER (3-1) owns running style versatility and brings strong NoCal form to the table. Her only dirt win was at SA and Smith hops aboard for Hollendorfer. #4 Coppa (3-1) stretches out and switches surfaces for D’Amato. She is 3-for-4 on dirt and looms a pace factor at the very least. #1 Faithfully (9-5) and #2 Show Stealer (5-2) both scratched out of the G1 Beholder Mile in favor of this much easier spot. The former fired Exacta shots in her last six and is a neck away from a 3-for-3 record at this trip. The latter finally gets away from Vale Dori and should be grinding away in the lane under Stevens. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta Box 4-5  

SA 8 (Possibly Perfect, 10T) #3 SEPTEMBER STARS (5-2) won both of her 9f turf starts in the US this year and seems to have plenty of stamina (final 1/4 in :24 on May 7 – Fastest in the Stretch). She is up from the optional claiming ranks and might be good enough to win this stakes affair for Stevens/Gallagher. #2 Place des Vosges (4-1) could not hang with Evo Campo as the beaten favorite at 12f last time but won back-to-back local turf races at 9f (final 1/4 in :24.4) and 10f before that. She cuts back in distance and might rebound. #1 Evo Campo (2-1) looked good winning the G3 Santa Barbara off the bench April 30 and she won this event at 12f last year. She is 5-for-9 over the local turf course and Bejarano rides her well. #4 Responsibleforlove (9-2) set the pace and just held the place in a much improved effort in her second US start in the common Santa Barbara. She had some overseas success at this distance (3-2-0-1). THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 2-3-4/1, Trifecta Key 3/1-2-4  

SA 9 (Mcl-20k, 6.5f) #9 SHE BEGAN AGAIN (10-1) split a 10-horse field in her local 5f bow and earned a decent number (93 Final). She might improve for Miyadi and should offer value. #2 Yellow Bonnet (6-5) dropped from MSW to $40k and landed the place May 11 (105 Final, show finisher next out winner). She drops again and looks like an obvious threat. #4 Dolce Tempesta (6-1) was an okay 4th in her local bow May 14 (2 next out winners) and can improve. #8 Bona Fide Image (3-1) hit the board in 5 of her 6 dirt sprints and looks like a solid Top 3 threat again for Pedroza/Spawr. Miyadi also saddles #6 My Heart is Yours (8-1) and she turns back 3rd off the shelf. She dueled and finished 3rd at this course/distance May 5 (86 Final). #1 Ruby’s Gone Again (12-1) faced CA-bred $50k foes in her first two and earned a better number April 7 (93 Final). THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 4-9/2, Trifecta 2-9/1-2-4-6-9/8, Superfecta Key 2/1-4-6-8-9       

Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1   (1-7-5)
2   (4-2)
3   (2-8-5-7-1)
4   (3-1-2)
5   (5-1)
6   (5-6-1-2)
7   (5-4-1-2)
8   (3-2-1-4)
9   (9-2-4-8-6-1)

ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:

$2 Double (Race 1-2): 
Ticket 1 (1-4)
Ticket 2 (1/2-4)
Ticket 3 (1-5-7/4)

$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (4-2)
Ticket 1 (4/1-2-5-7-8)
Ticket 3 (2-4/2)

$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3): 
Ticket 1 (1-4-2)
Ticket 2 (1/2-4/1-2-5-7-8)
Ticket 3 (1-5-7/4/1-2-5-7-8)
Ticket 4 (1-5-7/2-4/2)

BONUS RACES: WOODBINE 7-10

WO Best Bets (Races 9, 10)

WO 7 – OC-75k, 8.5f
Primary – #6 BERGER
Secondary – #8 Gamble’s Citizen, #2 Tough Equation
Wagers: Trifecta 6/2-8/ALL, Trifecta 6/ALL/2-8
20 cent Late Pick 4: 6/2/2-4-5-8-9-10/7-10-12-13 ($4.80)
20 cent Late Pick 4: 6/2-3-4-7-8/9/7-10-12-13 ($4.00)
20 cent Late Pick 4: 6/2-3-4-7-8/2-4-5-8-9-10/7 ($6.00)
20 cent Late Pick 4: 2-6-8/2-8/8-9/7-10 ($4.80)

WO 8 – G3 Hendrie, 6.5f
Primary – #2 MINKS APRISE, #8 Miss Ella
Secondary – #4 Chic Thrill, #3 Rattataptap, #7 River Maid
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-8, Trifecta 2-8/2-3-4-7-8/2-3-4-7-8

WO 9 – OC-62.5k, 6.5f
Primary – #9 BELLA FIGURA, #8 Gliding By
Secondary – #5 Conquest Fleetfeet, #4 Veaisha, #10 Copper Fox, #2 Duchess of Duke
Wagers: #9 to win, Exacta Box 8-9, Trifecta 8-9/4-5-8-9/2-4-5-8-9-10

WO 10 – OC-40k, 8T
Primary – #7 AYE AYE CAPTAIN, #10 Last Class to Go
Secondary – #12 Niigon Road, #13 Arthur’s Pass
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta Box 7-10, Trifecta 7-10/7-10-12-13/7-10-12-13